NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: Magic Players Looking Better Against Shorthanded Cavaliers (April 6)

With so many injury question marks on tonight’s NBA DFS slate, you must do your homework and stay on top of the news. Be sure to check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to gain insight into how breaking news can impact the slate. Additionally, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are valuable tools that can aid you in making NBA DFS picks and building strong lineups that have the potential to outperform your competition.

NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Picks Today | April 6

High-End Tier

Joel Embiid ($11,500) has the highest projection on the slate despite a tough matchup with the Heat, who play at the second-slowest pace in the league and rank ninth overall in defensive rating. Embiid is projected for 35% ownership, an 18% chance of booming and 35% chance of optimality, per the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($10,200) has a nice leverage score on the high end as the Thunder take on a Jazz team ranked 25th in defensive rating and 12th in pace of play. Gilgeous-Alexander is projected for 33% ownership, a 24% chance of booming and 38% chance of optimality.


Wendell Carter Jr. ($6,000) has a solid value score against a Cleveland team that is normally stout defensively but is missing all of its key players. Carter is projected for 18% ownership, a 25% chance of booming and 18% chance of optimality.

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Kevin Knox ($5,200) has a great leverage score for the extremely shorthanded and tanking Trail Blazers as they take on the equally shorthanded and tanking Spurs. Knox is projected for just 4% ownership, a 13% chance of booming and 9% chance of being optimal.

Value Tier

Ricky Rubio ($3,100) leads a long list of great value plays on the Cavaliers, who will be without all of their usual starters as they take on the Magic. Rubio is projected for 72% ownership, an 86% chance of booming and 68% chance of optimality.

Cedi Osman ($3,400) is projected for 74% ownership, an 86% chance of booming and 68% chance of optimality.

Cleveland’s Mamadi Diakite ($3,000), Raul Neto ($3,000), Robin Lopez ($3,000), Lamar Stevens ($3,700), Isaiah Mobley ($3,000), and Dean Wade ($3,800) are all among the top point-per-dollar options as well.

Utah’s Luka Samanic ($3,900) and Damian Jones ($4,100) should see extended run, with Walker Kessler and Lauri Markkanen out against the Thunder.

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Neil Orfield
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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