NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: Mark Williams Back in the Starting Lineup? (March 31)

With so many injury question marks on tonight’s NBA DFS slate, you must do your homework and stay on top of the news. Be sure to check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to gain insight into how breaking news can impact the slate. Additionally, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are valuable tools that can aid you in making NBA DFS picks and building strong lineups that have the potential to outperform your competition.

NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Picks Today | March 31

High-End Tier

Nikola Jokic ($11,600) is listed as questionable once again but is the highest-projected player if he plays against the Suns. Jokic is projected for 3% ownership, a 37% chance of booming and 6% chance of optimality, per the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.

Kristaps Porzingis ($9,500) and the Wizards will once again be without Kyle Kuzma and Bradley Beal as they take on the Magic. Porzingis is projected for 13% ownership, a 37% chance of booming and 13% chance of optimality.


Trendon Watford ($5,900) is questionable to play for the depleted Trail Blazers but has one of the top value scores on the slate if he’s active against the Kings. Watford is projected for 33% ownership, a 34% chance of booming and 24% chance of optimality.

Mark Williams ($5,800) is expected to be rotated back into the starting lineup for the Hornets tonight against the Bulls. Williams is projected for 3% ownership, a 26% chance of booming and 10% chance of optimality.

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Tari Eason ($5,100) has seen a bump in minutes recently and gets a great matchup with the Pistons, who have the third-worst defensive rating in the league. Easton is projected for 21% ownership, a 22% chance of booming and 17% chance of optimality.

Value Tier

John Butler ($3,700) could see significant minutes for the Blazers if Watford misses. Currently, with Watford projected in, Butler is projected for virtually zero ownership, a 21% chance of booming and 13% chance of optimality.

Obi Toppin ($4,000) should see increased opportunities with Julius Randle out. The matchup with the Cavaliers is not ideal, but Jarrett Allen sitting helps. Toppin is projected for 9% ownership, a 14% chance of booming and 13% chance of optimality.

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Neil Orfield
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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