PrizePicks NBA Player Projections: Run Back Bam Adebayo Until PrizePicks Values Him Correctly (May 19)

On this NBA Friday, we return to Boston for Game 2 of Heat-Celtics, presenting some exciting opportunities for NBA PrizePicks. As usual, we’ll employ Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro to uncover the two best NBA PrizePicks for May 19.

Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro lets you sort by the win percentage column to see the greatest difference between the projection set by PrizePicks and Stokastic’s projections. Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks.

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NBA Player PrizePicks | May 19

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Bam Adebayo More Than 35.0 Fantasy Points

Adebayo has consistently been a reliable fantasy producer, and tonight’s game is no exception. He is projected to score 40.8 fantasy points and play around 38 minutes. Adebayo is known for his efficiency, averaging over a fantasy point per minute. Despite this consistent performance, PrizePicks still has him at 35.0 fantasy points, providing an opportunity for value.

If you believe Adebayo will score under 35 fantasy points, you must assume he will play less than 35 minutes. However, this assumption is not supported by recent trends and performance. Betting on the more for Adebayo’s fantasy points is the play, and while there is always a chance for a bad game, putting money on more than 35.0 fantasy points is the favorable side.

Malcolm Brogdon More Than 25.5 Fantasy Points

Brogdon played approximately 35 minutes in the previous game and showcased his skills both offensively and defensively. There is a possibility that Brogdon could start in place of Robert Williams, which would give him even more playing time.

Over the past month, Brogdon has been averaging 0.93 fantasy points per minute. If he plays 30 minutes, that will translate to 28 fantasy points, comfortably surpassing the 25.5-point projections. Even if his playing time is reduced to 28 minutes, Brogdon is still expected to exceed the threshold. Additionally, it is worth noting that Brogdon generally averages 1 fantasy point per minute.

Considering Brogdon’s recent performance, potential increased playing time and his ability to contribute across multiple categories, taking the more on his 25.5 fantasy points is a favorable play. The PrizePicks projection fails to accurately represent the potential output Brogdon should have in this series.

These are just two of the +EV plays on the NBA PrizePicks slate. Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro has 49 more plays with more than a 50% expected win rate! Check them out HERE.

Josh Engleman
Josh is Contributor for where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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