NFL Monday Night Football DFS Picks: Eagles at Chargers (Week 14)

The Chargers (8-4) have a long row to hoe in order to catch Denver (11-2), though they have a 57% probability of landing a Wild Card berth as 2.5-point underdogs in Los Angeles tonight. Philadelphia (8-4) is looking to secure the NFC East and can grab the next rung on the ladder, putting further pressure on Dallas (6-6-1), and a win would all but clinch the division.

There are a lot of moving parts tonight at SoFi Stadium, located in Inglewood, Calif. In this edition of the Stokastic’s NFL DFS picks series, we’ll provide our Eagles-Chargers Week 14 MNF DFS plays for the NFL Showdown action.

NFL Monday Night Football Week 14 DFS Picks: Eagles-Chargers

NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 14: Jalen Hurts

Hurts is averaging 209.5 passing yards per game, and while that is above his 193.5 from last year, it is still below his 226.9 and 246.7 during his two Pro Bowl campaigns. Yes, the “Brotherly Shove” is great for Hurts, but that only gets fantasy points at the goal line. He has eight rushing touchdowns through his 12 games this season as compared to 14 in 15 games last year and 15 in 17 outings in 2023. The rushing yards are down to a career-low 27.4 per tilt, which is a dramatic drop from his 42.0 last year.

The OddsShopper Live Odds have Hurts at -110 for over 190.5 passing yards, -114 for more than 29.5 rushing yards and +175 for more than 1.5 passing scores, with his anytime touchdown prop between -110 and even money, depending on the sportsbook.

The Chargers did not allow a quarterback to throw for more than 165 yards since Daniel Jones got there in Week 7 with 288 and two aerial strikes. Last week Geno Smith tossed two touchdowns, and no other quarterback recorded more than one this season. Patrick Mahomes, Jaxon Dart and Trevor Lawrence each threw one and rushed for one, which is probably the realistic baseline for the Philadelphia field general.

Hurts has the highest median fantasy point projection, and he is trending to be the most rostered player on both DraftKings (70%) and FanDuel (75%), none of which should be surprising.

Philadelphia Eagles Positional Preview

Running Back | Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14

Los Angeles is solid against the run, with only three ball-carriers topping 80 rushing yards this season. Jonathan Taylor (16/94/3) was the most recent back in Week 7. Since his historical season last year when Saquon Barkley led the league with 345 carries, 2,005 rushing yards and 125.3 rushing yards per game, he has fallen off a cliff.

Thus far, his 61.7 yards per game are the fewest of his last four seasons, despite having the eighth-most carries with 16.5 per game. He does have four rushing touchdowns and two more as a receiver, but that is well behind his 17 combined scores last year and not enough to paper over his 3.7 yards per carry. Finally, it is wild that Barkley has only three games of 80-plus rushing yards, with his lone century game coming against the New York Giants in Week 8 when he had 14 carries for 150 yards and a score.

Currently, the Stokastic NFL projections have Barkley for 17.6 carries and 85.1 yards, plus 3.2 targets for 2.4 receptions and 17.9 yards, along with a 50% probability of scoring a touchdown. Still, he does have the lion’s share of the backfield opportunities, with Will Shipley seeing 31 offensive snaps in the four games since the Week 9 bye and Tank Bigsby playing on 20 downs. Shipley is projecting for one target, while Bigsby should get a couple of carries. Both could luck into a touchdown, but there are at least eight teammates who have priority over them by a wide margin.

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Wide Receiver | Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14

Over the last five seasons, A.J. Brown received Pro Bowl accolades three times while being named to the All-NFL Second-Team three times. His final year in Tennessee was the only campaign where he did not get at least one of these honors, mostly due to him playing in just 13 games. This year, pick any category other than touchdowns to see a career-low rate. The six scores are solid and one shy of the seven he tallied each of the last two seasons, though that is small solace for his fantasy supporters.

Brown does have four games with at least 100 yards and a touchdown, including each of the last two weeks, but the Chargers are a far better defense than the Chicago Bears and, of course, the Dallas Cowboys. Ideally, Brown will get a fourth consecutive game with double-digit targets, though the Bolts play a lot of zone, and that has been a weakness for Brown over the years. He is a threat to score from anywhere on the field at any time; it is just tricky doing that against zone coverage.

DeVonta Smith had 24 targets over his last three outings, which are behind the 33 of Brown but double any other pass-catcher in this timeframe. While he is not as vocal as Brown about his displeasure with the offense, it is clear he is not happy either. How crazy is it that the defending Super Bowl Champions are in such disarray, despite an 8-4 record? The team lost the least two games, and the Eagles averaged a scant 15.5 points in these efforts.

In the five games since the bye week, Jahan Dotson saw seven targets, with Darius Cooper getting two and Xavier Gipson one. Dotson would be DFS relevant if he caught two for 30-ish yards, but anything more would be catching lightning in a bottle.

Tight End | Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14

Dallas Goedert is third on the team with 56 targets, seeing 17 over the last five games. Between Week 3 and Week 8, the trusted target had a ridiculous seven touchdowns. Since then he has not scored, nor has he seen a red zone opportunity. We are looking at top-shelf pricing for bargain-bin production. Los Angeles keeps tight ends in check, with only Brock Bowers (4 targets, 4/63/2), Tyler Warren (5 targets, 4/69/1) and Travis Kelce (4 targets, 2/47/1) topping 40 receiving yards, and this trio accounts for four of the six touchdowns allowed to the position.

Grant Calcaterra will be on the field for around a quarter of the snaps, though he had two targets over the last five games, matching Kylen Granson as the only other tight end to have opportunities during this stretch.

Kicker | Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14

Jake Elliott missed two of his last three field goal attempts, but both were from beyond 50 yards. He slipped below his dreadful season last year — which was basically replacement level — and being 12 of 16 (75%) overall for the season is a concerning lack of opportunities. He does have 30 extra points, pacing for his production over the last two seasons, but it is hard to be excited for the usually stalwart kicker. In his favor tonight will be the game being indoors, as well as the Eagles going against a staunch defense that could force more field goals.

Defense | Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14

The Eagles are averaging two sacks per game, though the Chargers’ offensive line woes can be exploited, as evidenced by the team ceding 40 sacks this season, with the 3.3 per game being in the bottom third of the league. Philadelphia is averaging just over one takeaway per tilt, and Los Angeles gives up a tick more than one turnover each game on average.

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NFL DFS Picks for Monday Night Football Week 14: Omarion Hampton

The 22nd overall selection in the 2025 NFL Draft looked great in that game against Denver, tallying 70 yards and a touchdown on 19 totes, and turning seven targets into six catches for another 59 yards. The following week in New York, he shredded the Giants for 128 yards and a score on just 12 carries, converting all five of his targets for another 37 yards. It looked like the sky was the limit, with season-long drafters and Best Ball bros doing victory laps on every platform. Then tragedy struck and Hampton suffered a fractured ankle against Washington.

It was expected that second-year back Kimani Vidal, who was not active for the first three games, would split the backfield with journeyman Hassan Haskins, though that plan went out the window when Haskins was injured in Week 7 and lost for the year.

While Hampton was out, Vidal posted several strong games, with four outings of 108-plus combined yards, including three games of 117 or more rushing yards. It would be a bit of a surprise if we saw more than a split backfield tonight, considering Hampton missed the last two months and has just five NFL games under his belt. Best guess is that he will get first crack at things, though if he looks rusty or makes mistakes, the scales could slide towards Vidal.

Jaret Patterson will likely remain active as the RB3, but it would be a surprise to see him on the field for more than a half dozen snaps. Vidal is $600 more than Hampton on FanDuel, while on DraftKings the rookie has a $400 premium. Both backs can be played together on the same lineups by including a tight end punt from either team.

Los Angeles Chargers Positional Preview

Quarterback | Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14

Justin Herbert fractured a finger on his non-throwing hand last week, which required surgery. He did not actually miss any practice time and intends to start tonight. This is likely going to be a pain management scenario, particularly when he is taking hits behind the shaky offensive line and even on handoffs or center exchanges.

Looking to see how sportsbooks are handling this, we can employ the OddsShopper Live Odds screen. At this time Herbert is -112 for over 212.5 passing yards, -105 for more than 20.5 rushing yards and -115 to throw a touchdown pass.

Herbert is coming off two of his three worst performances of the season, going 10-for-18 (56%) for 81 yards and an interception in a 35-6 road loss to Jacksonville. Last week, he was 15 of 20 (75%), though he had only 151 yards and two touchdowns with one interception. That was a comfortable 31-14 victory against the Raiders, and the team gave 10 plays to backup Trey Lance.

Despite not having a lot of sacks, the Philadelphia defense held eight of the 12 (75%) quarterbacks they faced to under 200 yards, with only three games of more than one touchdown pass. Running quarterbacks can pick their spots and find success, but we do not know how Herbert will approach this aspect of the game. He is a good runner, but again the surgically repaired fractured finger creates some concern.

Wide Receiver | Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14

In line with the old saying “Two is company, three’s a crowd,” the Chargers have three strong wideouts, plus rookie Tre’ Harris, who was the 55th selection in the most recent draft. Veteran Keenan Allen is back from his one-season dalliance with the Chicago Bears, and he has the most experience with Herbert. Ladd McConkey took the league by storm as a rookie, though it looked like he regressed a bit for the first few games before finding his footing. Then there is Quentin Johnston, who was a first-round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, struggled mightily as a rookie, became better his second season and popped off for eight touchdowns on 55 catches. At points this year, he looked like the best wideout on the team.

The Stokastic NFL projections have McConkey for 6.9 targets, Johnston and Allen at 5.7 each, with Harris being assigned 2.1 opportunities. This season Allen and Johnston each have three games of double-digit targets, while McConkey has two but also is tied with Allen for the team lead at 91. This is a very fluid situation and further complicated by the injury to Herbert.

It also makes for a lot of fun strategy and decision points, so be sure to tune into the Stokastic Live Before Lock Show at 7:15 p.m. ET, where we break down all the action with the up-to-date DFS analysis and information.

Tight End | Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14

Philadelphia is outstanding against the position this year, allowing only three touchdowns and just two games of more than 43 yards to any one opposing tight end. Rookie Oronde Gadsden II suffered an injury to his left knee in Week 10, limiting him to a 52% snap share, though in the last two games he played 88% and 70% of the offensive sets.

After he popped off from Week 6 through Week 9, averaging 6.8 targets, 6.0 receptions and 94.3 yards while scoring twice, he has drawn a lot of extra defensive attention. Tucker Fisk looks to have the edge over Tyler Conklin as the blocking tight end, but each has one single solitary target since Week 6.

Kicker | Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14

Did you know that Cameron Dicker is the most accurate field goal kicker in NFL history, with a 93.6% success rate on 125 field goal attempts? Both his misses this year were from long range, though each was in the controlled atmosphere of SoFi Stadium. Across the last two-plus seasons, “Dicker the Kicker” was successful on 20 of 25 (80%) from beyond 50 yards, living up to his tremendous nickname.

Defense | Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14

The Chargers had 17 sacks over the last five games, including none in Jacksonville during the Week 11 drubbing. The team had eight interceptions over the last seven games, with one fumble recovery and a safety. Hurts has been sacked 27 times on his limited dropbacks, but his conservative nature (which is the source of locker room frustration) resulted in only two interceptions.

NFL DFS Picks for Eagles-Chargers NFL DFS Picks for MNF Week 14: Rankings

Top 10 NFL DFS Showdown Picks for Eagles-Chargers

1. Jalen Hurts: Hurts so good!
2. Saquon Barkley: Feels like a fish move, but here we are.
3. Justin Herbert: Would be above Barkley if not for the hand injury. Vidal would rank ahead of him if not for the likely return of Hampton tonight.
4. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith: To prominent members in the Philadelphia soap opera.
5. Cameron Dicker: Has the leg, accuracy and familiar confines.
6. Omarion Hampton and Kimani Vidal: Pay attention to any comments from the Los Angeles coaching staff leading up to kickoff.
7. Keenan Allen: Significant discount to McConkey on FanDuel ($3,000, 39%) and DraftKings ($2,000, 33%).
8. Ladd McConkey: More trustworthy than Johnston, though still with a salary premium similar to the Allen figures above.
9. Quentin Johnston: It would not be a stretch if he were the leading pass-catcher for the Chargers tonight.
10. Philadelphia DST: Should be in the mix for a handful of combined sacks and takeaways.

Secondary Options

1. Los Angeles DST: Would have flipped with the Eagles if Hurts were around league average for his interception rate.
2. Jake Elliott: Conditions are not much better than this, but it looks like he lost confidence, even after seemingly getting over the yips last year.
3. Oronde Gadsden II: Combination of his own injury, more defensive focus and Herbert’s finger has the rookie outside the top 10.