Fire up the grill, crack a cold one and lock in your entries — because we’re building the perfect DraftKings MLB DFS lineup for Independence Day. This special edition comes packed with data-backed plays, value stacks and the upside you need to chase a GPP win on one of the wildest slates of the summer. Let’s dive into two pitchers and a value stack with legitimate slate-breaking potential, all based on results from the Single Lineup Simulator and Stokastic’s MLB DFS Tools.
Perfect DraftKings MLB DFS Lineup: Optimal Strategy
Top Pitchers for Your DraftKings MLB DFS Lineup
Top Pitcher: Spencer Strider – Atlanta Braves
There’s no reason to get cute here. Pitching on a slate full of landmines, Spencer Strider is the one anchor you can actually rely on for your DraftKings lineup. While Baltimore is stronger against righties, Strider’s elite velocity, strikeout upside and returning form make him a must-play.
- Velocity is back up
- Recent strikeouts strong
- Great weather setup
- Pitching is thin across the board
Strider offers unmatched ceiling and stability today — especially critical on a slate where the other aces don’t come close.
SP2: Eric Lauer – Toronto Blue Jays
This is where things get dicey, but Eric Lauer provides both savings and sneaky upside. The Angels have a massive 26.6% strikeouts rate against lefties (highest in MLB) and just an 82 wRC+. Yes, they have power, but Lauer doesn’t need a clean sheet to pay off.
You’re betting on:
- A high-strikeout outing (line of 5.5 strikeouts posted on multiple books)
- Solo home runs, not crooked innings
- Low ownership leverage on a soft pitching slate
If Lauer manages six innings, two earned runs and seven-plus strikeouts, that’s a gem at his salary.
Top DraftKings MLB DFS Stack: Giants
We are going back-to-back days riding with the San Francisco Giants — and for good reason. They get a dream matchup against J.P. Sears in a launchpad of a park (second-best hitting environment in baseball behind Coors). Sears has been lit up by righties all year and has been even worse at home:
- 3.34 home runs per nine at home
- 57% fly ball rate
- 22% ground ball rate
Target Bats:
- Wilmer Flores
- Tyler Fitzgerald
- Rafael Devers
- Willy Adames
- Heliot Ramos
And the best part is the Giants stack leaves you salary to grab elite outfield pieces like Shohei Ohtani.
Filling Out the Rest: Use Sims for the Optimal Finish
After running our Single Lineup Simulation with Strider and Lauer plus the Giants stack, here’s what the final build looked like:
This is a well-balanced lineup with ceiling and correlation that’s viable in GPPs and single-entry tournaments alike. If you’re serious about crafting a perfect DraftKings lineup, this is your blueprint.
