Using Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool, each player carries an optimal lineup percentage score, which is the probability that player will be in perfect lineup for that slate based on Awesemo’s projections. Below are three of the players with the highest Week 18 DraftKings and FanDuel optimal lineup percentage scores of the week using the Boom/Bust Tool. Check out all of the Awesemo expert tools and cheat sheets when making your NFL DFS picks this week.
Week 18 NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks & Projections
*Percentages indicate Optimal Lineup Scores
Jonathan Taylor — DraftKings: 24.6%, FanDuel: 28.7%
Taylor is No. 1 Flex play on the board for Week 18. The Colts will earn a playoff berth if they defeat the Jaguars this Sunday and will treat this game as a must-win. Jacksonville is the fifth-worst defense by PFF grade, and the Colts have the highest implied team total on the slate in this gorgeous spot (29.75 points). Additionally, Indianapolis a 15.5-point favorite. This season Taylor has led the league in carries per game with 19.8 and red-zone carries with 83, which is nearly double the number of Dalvin Cook, who ranks second with 45. Furthermore, Taylor ranks fifth in yards per attempt (5.47) and second in DraftKings points per snap among running backs (0.56). As a receiver Taylor has hauled in 82% of his targets while running a route on 48% of Carson Wentz’s dropbacks. Taylor ranks second only to Cooper Kupp in DraftKings points this season.
Taylor has scored over 20 DraftKings points in 11 of his last 13 starts and has an elite career average of 30 DraftKings points per game when the Colts have been favored by double-digits. In Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool no player has a higher ceiling than Taylor this Sunday, regardless of position.
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Taysom Hill — DraftKings: 11%, FanDuel: 14%
For the Saints to advance to the postseason, they need to beat the Falcons this weekend and the 49ers need to lose to the Rams. In this win-or-go-home scenario, Hill is standing out as one of the best quarterback options on the slate. In the four starts he has made this season, Hill has been subpar through the air, completing 54.7% of his passes. However, he has been extremely active as rusher, carrying 11.3 times per game. Hill has turned volume into 63 yards per start, and he has found the end zone twice with his legs. His dual-threat ability always gives him a strong floor/ceiling combination, and in the eight career starts Hill has made, he has produced 21.3 DraftKings points per game. The Falcons defense Hill is facing is the third worst by PFF grade, and they have been extremely vulnerable to mobile quarterbacks, giving up the most carries (86) and the third-most yards rushing to the position (413).
Hill should thrive in this spot that is perfect for his skillset, and he is the No. 1 quarterback in optimal lineup percentage on DraftKings in Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool.
Zach Ertz — DraftKings: 16.9%, FanDuel: 21.1%
While the Cardinals have clinched a playoff spot, a win this Sunday plus a Rams loss would give them the NFC West division title. Arizona should put their best effort forward against the Seahawks, who have yielded the seventh-most yards per pass attempt this season (7). This game’s total is the highest on the slate (48 points), and the Cardinals present the third-largest implied team total on the board (27.25 points). Since the Cardinals placed Deandre Hopkins (knee) on IR three weeks ago, Ertz has become Kyler Murray’s top target. Over this three-game span, Ertz has led Arizona with a 26.6% target share, including four red-zone targets, and he has run a route on all but one of Murray’s dropbacks. Ertz meets a Seahawks defense that is yielding the fourth-most touchdowns to tight ends (9).
Combine this juicy matchup with Ertz’s elite usage, and he possesses the highest optimal lineup percentage among tight ends for both DraftKings and FanDuel this week in Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool.
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