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3 QUICK & EASY Domantas Sabonis NBA Player Props Tonight | Pacers vs. Heat 12/21/21

Henry John

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The first of two nationally televised NBA games on TNT tonight is an Eastern Conference matchup between the Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat. Neither team has been playing great basketball of late, and the season goals for the two sides appear to be quite different. Nonetheless, there will be plenty of solid players in action, which makes this a fun game for prop bets. The revamped Awesemo OddsShopper Tool is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props and betting picks for tonight’s Pacers – Heat matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet projections for Pacers big man, Domantas Sabonis.

With help from OddsShopper, the following column aims to find optimal odds and discusses some positive ROI prop bets for Sabonis in tonight’s matchup.

Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks Today | Domantas Sabonis

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Sabonis props below.

Under 12.5 Rebounds (-105, Caesars)

While the line for total points was quite close to Sabonis’ per-game average, the rebounding total of 12.5 is nearly one full board more than the 11.8 he is averaging coming in. Indiana’s most recent game is the only time in the last 10 in which Sabonis failed to achieve a double-digit rebounding total. Despite that stat, he has only exceeded tonight’s line of 12.5 boards three times over that same 10-game span. With a projection of 11.62 rebounds tonight, OddsShopper believes there is a 61% chance that Sabonis stays under the betting total. The favorable -105 price revealed by OddsShopper is as much as 20 cents better value than other odds in the market. This wager has a 19% expected ROI at the preferred odds.

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Under 18.5 Points (-115, PointsBet)

On the season Sabonis has averaged 18.3 points per game. Despite that figure sitting just below tonight’s NBA player props total of 18.5, OddsShopper shows that the betting market is juiced to the under. After totaling just 16 and 12 points in the Pacers’ last two games, OddsShopper projects that Sabonis will once again fall short of his per-game average. Considering that the Heat allow the third-fewest points per game of any team, the defensive matchup certainly figures to be a challenge. The optimal -115 odds are currently up to 12 cents better value than what other sportsbooks are offering. At that price, OddsShopper has assigned an expected ROI of 13% to this prop bet.

Under 4.5 Assists (+115, PointsBet)

The betting total of 4.5 assists sits just above Sabonis’ season average of 4.2 per game. While the tough matchup against the Heat certainly figures to impact the Pacers’ offensive gameplan on all fronts, the key to this prop bet is the associated odds. With the NBA betting market juiced to the over on Sabonis’ assists total tonight, OddsShopper feels that the best play is to fire on plus-money odds that he will finish under the number. Despite not having the biggest edge in terms of projection, the optimal +115 odds result in this prediction still having a 17% expected ROI.

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