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Best MLB Bets Today (6/13): Baseball Prop Betting Picks

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Best MLB bets today free expert MLB betting picks and predictions today Monday MLB player prop bets

A robust Monday in Major League Baseball has a 10-game schedule beginning in the early evening from which to make the best MLB prop bets today. With pitchers such as Aaron Nola and Alek Manoah in inviting matchups, we’ll seek value among strikeout and total base props. Evidence points to likely postponement in Detroit, so keep that in mind during the selection process on Monday.

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Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 6/13

Merrill Kelly O/U 4.5 Strikeouts

Merrill Kelly has a 19.8% strikeout rate and .241 average against this year, and tonight he duels with the Cincinnati Reds, who have a 23.1% strikeout rate and 88 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. Kelly is averaging just over 5.1 innings per start and 0.83 strikeouts per inning, which puts him on pace for roughly 4.5 strikeouts in an average start. Kelly has exceeded tonight’s line in six of his 12 starts, while seven of the expected hitters in the Reds order have at least a 21% strikeout rates against righties pitching this season. Although the juice remains unappealing, a moderately low strikeout total in a good matchup makes the over on Kelly’s strikeouts tonight a viable start to betting slips.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Merrill Kelly OVER 4.5 Total Strikeouts (-150)


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Ty France O/U 1.5 Total Bases

Tonight, Ty France draws a matchup with Chris Archer, who has a 17.7% strikeout rate and .225 average against this year. France has a .325 batting average, 12.5% strikeout rate and .893 OPS, and his line of 1.5 total bases at OddsShopper has +130 odds on the over. He is one of Seattle’s most effective hitters against right-handed pitching, with a .335 batting average, .911 OPS and 169 wRC+ in 182 at-bats. When facing righties, Archer has a 15.5% strikeout rate, 5.12 FIP and 1.3 home runs per nine innings. Needing just two bases to cash in on plus-money odds, the over on France’s total bases is one of the best baseball betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Ty France OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+130)


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Christian Walker O/U 0.5 Total Home Runs

This pick is less about Christian Walker and more about his matchup. Walker faces Mike Minor on the mound tonight, who is allowing 5.4 home runs per nine and a 19.2% barrel rate in two starts this season. When facing right-handed hitting, Minor has an 8.03 FIP and three of his five home runs allowed year. Walker’s game elevates against left-handed pitching, with a .289 batting average, .311 ISO and three home runs against the split in 45 at-bats this season. Upon Minor’s exit, Walker draws a Reds bullpen allowing the league’s fifth-highest HR/9 (1.26). Getting over a 3-1 return on investment, place a little on Walker’s total home runs in an excellent matchup.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Christian Walker OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+340)


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Jorge Polanco O/U 1.5 Total Bases

Jorge Polanco has a .245 batting average, .729 OPS and 22% strikeout rate, and today he his line of 1.5 total bases has +130 odds on the over. Polanco battles Chris Flexen, who has a 15.8% strikeout rate, .266 average against and 41.1% hard contact allowed this year. Against lefties, Flexen has a .234 average against, 4.44 FIP and .300 wOBA. Polanco has a .246 batting average, .803 OPS, .190 ISO and six of seven home runs against right-handed pitching this season. Though Flexen’s output slightly improves against lefty hitters, Polanco needs just two bases in a welcoming matchup, and the plus-money value is hard to turn down.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Jorge Polanco OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+130)


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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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