A shorter Monday slate opens up the week and the month of August. As playoff races begin to tighten, it opens up value for first inning plays, especially with the trade deadline still looming ahead of Tuesday. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the aim is to combine recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data, and the first inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. Here are the best value plays for today’s action with the best NRFI bets for Monday, Aug. 1.
Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning Picks 8/1
Dodgers vs. Giants Pick | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Every time the Dodgers have gone to Andrew Heaney it has worked. The only time he took a loss in the four starts so far was more a result of a lack of run support. Logan Webb is coming off his worst start in July and should bounce back against the Dodgers. Los Angeles is one of the best teams in scoring runs early, with an average of 0.68 runs per first inning (RPFI) on the road. Catching Webb on a presumed downswing would add to that, but San Francisco is the stingiest team in the first at home. The Giants only give up 0.27 RPFI at home. This one will be handled by the pitchers.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Dodgers vs. Giants NRFI (-122 FanDuel)
Tigers vs. Twins | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
This is a fantastic matchup geared for a NRFI play, primarily due to the pitching matchup with Tarik Skubal taking on the Twins. Skubal is working with a 24.7% strikeout rate and has seen two straight starts of not giving up an earned run. It’s enough to power through the Twins bats, which average 0.69 RPFI at home despite being blanked in their last three games. Detroit poses little to no threat to anyone while on the road — they 0.16 RPFI away from home. That number is not only worst in baseball, but it is also getting worse by the day. That should help going up against Aaron Sanchez and his 8.33 ERA. The deeper look finds Sanchez was decent this past month, outside of two games against the Rockies.
This game may still be off the board when reading this, but the play remains NRFI when it returns.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Tigers vs. Twins NRFI (– BetMGM)
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Mariners vs. Yankees Pick | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
New York just dropped one to the Royals, who are now 22 games below the .500 mark. They still managed six runs and should be even more aggressive against Marco Gonzales. The lefty comes off one of his best starts of the season, but it was a mixed bag before that, including giving up five earned runs in each of his previous two starts. The Yankees send Domingo German, who has been hittable — especially for power — in each of his two starts this season. The Yankees average 0.79 RPFI at home, combined with the Mariners getting 0.42 RPFI on the road. Neither pitcher stands a chance.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Mariners vs. Yankees YRFI (-120 BetMGM)
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