Connect with us

nba betting

MUST-BET NBA Player Props Picks Tonight Heat vs. Celtics Game 7

Henry John



It was only 48 hours ago that a Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals seemed like a long-shot proposition. Then Jimmy Butler happened. A massive game by the Miami Heat superstar that was allegedly inspired by the words of Draymond Green was enough to down the Boston Celtics on their home floor. As the top seed in the East, the Heat will now enjoy home court advantage of their own for Sunday night’s series-deciding matchup. A ticket to the 2022 NBA Finals is all that awaits the winner. For fans and bettors, it doesn’t get much better than a winner-take-all showdown to have some action. As has been the case all throughout the playoffs, the NBA player props market offers up several intriguing betting picks for Sunday’s showdown.

One Month of Stokastic+ Platinum FREE when you make your first deposit on PrizePicks. Claim this offer now by clicking here!

Bettors can easily enhance their NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

Derrick White O/U 8.5 Points

After rolling his ankle in Game 3 of this series, Celtics point guard Marcus Smart has provided lackluster scoring contributions at best. Stepping up to help replace some of that production in the backcourt has been trade deadline acquisition Derrick White. White has seen a massive uptick in his minutes in each of the last three games. After averaging just 27.3 minutes coming off the bench as a Celtic, White has played 41, 29 and 33 minutes in each of the last three games. He has scored in double figures in each game and has provided meaningful statistical contributions in other areas as well.

Needless to say, it would be a major shock to see the Celtics reduce White’s playing time in a drastic way in tonight’s Game 7 matchup. After scoring 13, 14 and 22 points in Games 4 through 6, respectively, the prop market has moved White’s point total up one tally from 7.5 to 8.5 ahead of Sunday’s contest. OddsShopper shows that the prices are divided across the market depending on the sportsbook. Thus, bettors can obtain as much as 22 cents of value over competing listings when they target optimal -108 odds.

One would have to go all the way back to White’s rookie year in 2017 to find the last time he averaged less than the total at any point in his career. Even though he was relegated to coming off the bench and playing fewer minutes upon being traded to Boston, he still managed to score 11 points per game. Given how hot he has been shooting in the past two games in particular, OddsShopper believes that playing over 8.5 points is a worthwhile Game 7 wager to make. He is projected for 9.60 points, and with the preferred odds, the expected ROI is 12%.

Tail Awesemo's Sports Betting Picks Today!

Best NBA Player Prop Today: Derrick White OVER 8.5 Points

Get $200 FREE on BetMGM if Either Team Hits a 3

P.J. Tucker O/U 5.5 Rebounds

Having NBA betting picks that favor the over on any P.J. Tucker statistics is hardly the sexiest option one could choose. With that being said, his impact and relative consistency throughout these Eastern Conference Finals cannot be ignored. Tucker hardly stole the show in the Heat’s surprising Game 6 victory, but he certainly did his fair part pitching in with 11 points and five rebounds.

The Game 7 props market has Tucker’s rebounding total set at 5.5. He has already exceeded this mark three times. Add in the five-board effort from the other night and Tucker has either eclipsed or finished within one of 5.5 rebounds in four of six games thus far. Knowing this, it’s a bit surprising to find OddsShopper listing plus-money odds reaching as high as +110 on the over for this prop line.

Based on Tucker’s regular season rebounding average of 5.5, the line is dead on. Even if one argues that this prop is ultimately a 50-50 proposition, the plus-money odds would represent solid value. Awesemo’s projections believe Tucker has a 52% probability of going over his rebounding prop in this Game 7 matchup. Combine that likelihood with a +110 price and there is indeed value in betting the over, with an expected ROI of 10%.

Now, if you find yourself thinking that it is not worth the risk of betting on Tucker to finish with six rebounds or more tonight, BetMGM has a very appealing alternative: FREE MONEY on tonight’s game. All you have to do is bet $10 to win $200 if either the Celtics or Heat hit just one 3-pointer tonight. Even though this has been a defensive-minded series of late, betting on a single 3-pointer in today’s NBA is an absolute lock.

Best NBA Player Prop Today: P.J. Tucker OVER 5.5 Rebounds

Get $200 FREE on BetMGM if Either Team Hits a 3

The Latest Sports Betting Content from Stokastic Odds

Victor Oladipo O/U 8.5 Points

Victor Oladipo has admittedly been one of the toughest players to figure out in this series as far as NBA bets are concerned. His playing time and numbers in Sunday’s Game 7 could hinge heavily on whether or not Tyler Herro is available for the Heat after missing the last two games with a groin injury. Oladipo logged 30 minutes in Game 4, a wire-to-wire blowout win for the Celtics. In the two games since, he has only played 15 and 22 minutes. With his role off the bench not likely to yield a ton of playing time in a winner-take-all scenario, Oladipo could be hard-pressed to clear the line of 8.5 points.

Check out today's FREE DFS tool of the day

Over the course of eight regular season games, Oladipo did average 12.4 points scored. However, that minuscule sample size can almost be thrown out entirely when one factors in the top-notch Celtics defense. Only twice in these Eastern Conference Finals has Oladipo scored in double figures. Both games were lopsided losses for Miami. They were also the only two games in which Oladipo exceeded 22 minutes of playing time in the series.

With more questions than answers regarding what Oladipo’s role will be in a competitive (and winner-take-all) Game 7 scenario, OddsShopper leans towards playing under on his scoring total. At the time of writing, OddsShopper indicates that bettors can obtain five extra cents worth of value by targeting a -110 price point. At the preferred odds, OddsShopper gives this a 12% ROI. Oladipo is projected to score 7.40 points tonight, leading to a win probability of 59%.

Best NBA Player Prop Today: Victor Oladipo UNDER 8.5 Points

Get $200 FREE on BetMGM if Either Team Hits a 3

Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media! Check out the StokasticOdds home page for more sports betting content, including more picks and predictions.

Sign up to Receive Expert DFS Advice & Exclusive Offers From Stokastic

Subscriber Counter

We respect your email privacy

More Betting