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MUST-BET NBA Player Props Picks Tonight ECF Game 5 | Jimmy Butler

Henry John



The Eastern Conference Finals resume in the Sunshine State on Wednesday night. What was once a best-of-seven series between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat has been whittled down to a best-of-three after the Celtics rolled to victory two days ago. Despite the action shifting back to Miami, the NBA betting odds and picks have installed Boston as a small road favorite for tonight’s contest. Bettors who would prefer to steer clear of the game lines in this seesaw series can find some terrific alternatives in the NBA player props market.

Bettors can easily enhance their NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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Grant Williams O/U 3.5 Rebounds

Even with Robert Williams III returning to the floor for the Celtics in Game 4, forward Grant Williams still saw a healthy 37 minutes of action. He finished with five total rebounds for the second straight game. Concerning the NBA prop bets line of 3.5 boards posted today, Williams has now cleared it in three consecutive contests, five of the last six, and seven of 10 overall. He has regularly been eclipsing his season average of 3.6 boards per game as well. This makes sense given that Williams has largely played over 30 minutes during the playoffs after averaging just 24 during the regular season.

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Given how the Celtics clamped down defensively on Monday night, there were certainly plenty of rebounds available. With the defensive play by both teams only likely to get tighter as the Eastern Conference Finals progress, a player like Williams should have plenty of opportunities to once again make his presence felt on the glass. After all, he is primarily on the floor to space the floor, play solid defense and provide a burst of energy with his hustle.

Despite the fact that OddsShopper shows juiced prices towards the over, Awesemo believes that this is still a profitable wager worth considering for Game 5. In fact, projections give Williams a 70% chance of going over the NBA player props line. Awesemo officially has him pegged to corral 4.76 rebounds in tonight’s game. At the best available price of -130, this over prediction becomes one of the top NBA prop bets today with an expected ROI value of 23%.

Best NBA Player Prop Today: Grant Williams OVER 3.5 Rebounds | Get $200 FREE on BetMGM if Either Team Hits a Three

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Jimmy Butler O/U 24.5 Points 

He may not be listed on the Game 5 injury report, but Jimmy Butler hardly looked like himself in Monday’s blowout loss. After sitting out the entire second half of the Heat’s Game 3 victory, he shot just 3-for-14 from the field in Game 4 and scored a series-low six points. Clearly, Butler is bothered by the knee injury. He lacked any sort of explosion at the rim and was a step slow when attacking on Monday. Keep in mind that this same knee pain already caused him to miss Game 5 in the first round against Atlanta. With just 48 hours, plus travel in between games, can we really expect Butler to be that much healthier than he was on Monday?

Given his injury situation, it’s difficult to make a strong case for Butler to exceed the NBA player props total of 24.5 points tonight. After all, he has failed to even crack double-digits in the scoring column in each of the last two games. Furthermore, this line is set three full points above the 21.4 that Butler averaged on a per-game basis over the full season. Throw in the lethal Celtics defense and there are simply too many factors working against Butler in tonight’s game. OddsShopper seems to indicate that the NBA prop bets market is in agreement with this under prediction. The majority of sportsbooks are juiced slightly in that direction.

Despite the slight shift in the odds towards the under, OddsShopper also shows that bettors can still place this wager at a -115 price point. Awesemo highly recommends doing so. An exact projection for Butler to score 21.80 points in Game 5 results in a 64% win probability for this under prediction. Combine the projection with the optimal betting odds and bettors can score a solid 19% ROI value on this wager.

Of course, the true greats are considered great because they are able to overcome adversity and perform in the clutch. If you do not think that it is worth the risk of betting on Butler to score less than 25 points in tonight’s game, perhaps a little FREE MONEY from BetMGM will be more to your liking! All you have to do is bet $10 to win $200 if either the Celtics or Heat hit just one 3-pointer tonight.

Best NBA Player Prop Today: Jimmy Butler UNDER 24.5 Points | Get $200 FREE on BetMGM

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Victor Oladipo O/U 1.5 Assists

The starters may have forgotten to show up for the Heat in Game 4, but Victor Oladipo sure did. The huge early deficit likely afforded Oladipo some additional playing time that he otherwise wouldn’t have gotten. The 30-year-old knocked down four 3-pointers to finish with 23 points. He also was getting teammates involved as well. For the first time in the Eastern Conference Finals, Oladipo had a multi-assist game. He did that and then some, finishing with six total helpers in the losing effort.

After his big performance on Monday, might the Heat opt to give Oladipo some additional run in this series going forward? With Kyle Lowry still battling a hamstring injury and being ineffective two days ago, there could very well be some extra minutes up for grabs in the Miami backcourt. Oladipo’s Game 4 stat line certainly did nothing to hurt his stock. While bettors should not expect him to sail over the NBA prop bets line with another half-dozen assists today, he is fully capable of achieving the two dimes necessary to cash the over. After all, he averaged 3.5 assists per game on the year.

Considering that the NBA player props total is two full assists lower than Oladipo’s season average, it’s no surprise that OddsShopper shows hefty juice in that direction across the market. Despite having to pay a steep -180 price, Awesemo still gives this over prediction a healthy expected ROI valuation of 15%. An exact projection of 2.70 assists leads to a 74% probability that Oladipo clears the NBA betting picks total in Game 5 tonight.

Best NBA Player Prop Today: Victor Oladipo OVER 1.5 Assists | Get $200 FREE on BetMGM if Either Team Hits a Three

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