The second game of tonight’s NBA TV doubleheader features a quality Western Conference matchup between the Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors. For the visiting Nuggets, tonight’s game provides the opportunity to boost their record north of .500. Meanwhile, the Warriors will simply be trying to maintain their standing as the NBA’s best team. The revamped Awesemo OddsShopper Tool is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props and betting picks for tonight’s Nuggets – Warriors matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet projections for reigning NBA MVP, Nikola Jokic.
With help from OddsShopper, the following column aims to find optimal odds and discusses some positive ROI prop bets for Jokic in tonight’s matchup.
Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | Nikola Jokic
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Jokic props below.
Under 28.5 Points (-106, FanDuel)
The biggest edge that Awesemo has on Jokic NBA player props for tonight’s game is the under on his scoring total. Considering that the reigning MVP is averaging only 25.9 points per game on the season, he figures to be facing an uphill climb to exceed the NBA betting line of 28.5 tonight. Adding to the difficulty is the fact that the Warriors come in as the best scoring defense in the league. Because of this, Awesemo actually projects Jokic to finish below his per-game average at exactly 24.76 points. The massive discrepancy creates a massive expected win probability of 71% for the under.
In addition, OddsShopper reveals favorable -106 odds that are nearly 30 cents better value than alternative prices in the market. The projection combines with the best odds to produce an enormous 36% expected ROI.
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Under 7.5 Assists (-105, DraftKings)
Matching up against a stout Golden State defense also helps with projecting Jokic to stay under the assists line of 7.5 tonight. While “The Joker” is averaging an impressive 7.2 assists per game, he has also only exceeded the NBA player props total once in the last four games. Once again, OddsShopper comes in handy to help bettors locate favorable -105 odds that offer much more value than those at other sportsbooks. With a projection of exactly 6.80 assists, Awesemo gives this under prediction a healthy expected ROI of 27%.
Under 13.5 Rebounds (-110, FanDuel)
Although it is the smallest edge on Jokic prop bets tonight, Awesemo does feel that playing under 13.5 total rebounds also offers a positive ROI opportunity. Bettors may be cautious about this under prediction considering that Jokic exceeded 20 boards in each of the Nuggets’ last two games. However, he still is only averaging 13.8 per game on the season overall. Prior to the most recent two contests, Jokic failed to exceed the NBA betting line in six of the previous eight games. OddsShopper can help lock in up to 15 cents in value by locating the optimal price of -110. At those odds, the expected ROI on this prop is considered to be 13%.
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