Sunday brings the end of the weekend and series across baseball, with some earlier pitching matchups and later games providing great value. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the aim is to combine recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data, and the first-inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. Here are the best value plays for today’s action with the best NRFI picks for Sunday, Aug. 14.
Best NRFI Picks Today: No Run First Inning Bets 8/14
Padres at Nationals Pick | RISK FREE BET up to $1,000
The early game on Sunday carried by Peacock has been trending towards the under for most of the season. Maybe it’s the early start or another factor mixed in, but it’s a solid spot to jump on for any NRFI play. The Padres offense has not arrived despite their bats coming over via trades, and Juan Soto gets another look at his former team.
Neither Blake Snell nor Paolo Espino have been crushed with high ERAs, and while the WHIPs are a little shaky for both, this game has favored pitching, especially early in games. This is more likely to incur some juice at some point, but this plus-money bet is the best place to begin.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Padres at Nationals NRFI (+100 BetMGM)
Cubs at Reds Sox Pick | RISK FREE BET up to $1,000
Another great combination of circumstances make for a strong play in the first inning at Great American Ballpark. The park itself will always be a variable, but it needs to be accelerated by other factors. One of those is Justin Dunne, making his second start in the Majors after looking shaky against the Mets. The Cubs are one of baseball’s better teams in RPFI average on the road, and have a fantastic opportunity to hack away on Dunne.
Keegan Thompson goes for the Cubbies today, and while his numbers have been strong, the concern lies with his 1.24 WHIP. Thompson isn’t striking many batters out with a sub 21% K rate, and the Reds are still tied for 5th best in MLB averaging .74 RPFI at home.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Cubs at Reds YRFI (-125 BetMGM)
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Orioles at Rays Pick | RISK FREE BET up to $1,000
Sometimes the line doesn’t always match the pitchers when it comes to any play in the first inning. Jordan Lyles has some rough numbers on the year, including a 1.44 WHIP – something that can kill a clean first inning. Lyles has been near opposite of those numbers in three straight strong outings. Drew Rasmussen has some better numbers on the season, but isn’t blowing anyone back with a 20% K rate. The Rays have seen Rasmussen keep one of the better walk rates in baseball, so that has helped in smaller sample sizes – like a first inning play.
Baltimore averages .29 runs per first inning (RPFI) on the road, one of the worst numbers in baseball. Tampa does have a decent RPFI average at home and normally would be fine to score here, but Lyles is on a nice streak to counter.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Orioles at Rays NRFI (-110 BetMGM)
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