The weekend comes to a close following baseball’s return from the All-Star break, providing a couple of interesting and attackable pitching matchups. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the strategey combines recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data, and the first inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. Here are the best value plays for tonight’s action with the best NRFI bets for Sunday, July 24.
Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning Picks 7/24
Marlins vs. Pirates Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
If there’s going to be a run in the first inning today between the Pirates and Marlins, it’s most likely coming from Miami. The fish send their ace Sandy Alcantara to the mound as the leader for the NL Cy Young Award. Alcantara has been flat out dominant, giving up just one run in the first inning across nine road starts this year. Mitch Keller has surrendered a first inning run in three of his eight starts at home. Even with Alcantara – and others – Miami is still giving up .55 runs per first inning (RPFI) while on the road. The number on BetMGM only reflects Alcantara on the hill, and offers a solid return at plus money.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Marlins vs. Pirates YRFI (+115 BetMGM)
White Sox vs. Guardians Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
Another game where one of the pitchers will dominate the conversation and betting markets. It’s been a Cy Young type season for Dylan Cease from strikeouts to limiting hits, and once again BetMGM is reflecting their plus money return on Cease alone. Shane Bieber enters tonight’s game with a 3.24 ERA with a 24.9% K rate, so enough to pose a problem early for the White Sox. Despite having Cease on the mound today, the White Sox still give up a league leading .77 RPFI at home. While Cleveland may be one of baseball’s better teams in giving up RPFI, they still allow .41 on average. The Guardians are going to have to be patient, but both teams will have an early scoring chance – it’s just a matter of taking advantage of any mistake on the mound.
Best NRFI Bet Today: White Sox vs. Guardians YRFI (+115 BetMGM)
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Padres vs. Mets Pick | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The Padres send one of baseball’s best tonight against the Mets at Citi Field. Joe Musgrove enters with a 2.42 ERA and a K rate just under 25% on the year. He’s the perfect candidate to counter the Mets averaging a league leading .80 RPFI at home. They send Carlos Carrasco who has a similar K rate hovering at 24% this season. The Padres haven’t done much against opposing pitching in the first inning, at least away from home, averaging just .28 RPFI on the road – third worst in the sport. The pitching matchup is certainly enough to either counter or extend current hitting trends. Musgrove will get through the top part of the Mets lineup, and Carrasco is aided by the Padres road struggles.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Padres vs. Mets NRFI (-130 BetMGM)
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