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Best MLB Prop Bets Today & FREE $200 BetMGM link | Thursday 5/19/22




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Thursday’s Major League Baseball schedule offers a modest eight games, including three divisional matchups. Just one game features a lofty 9.5 run total on OddsShopper while Chris BassittYu Darvish and Kyle Gibson headline a group of starting pitchers short of household names. This article will focus on a handful of player props varying from strikeouts to total bases earned, rounding out the best MLB prop bets that include a free $200 BetMGM offer upon solidifying your MLB predictions today.

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Best MLB Props Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions

Jordan Mongomery O/U 5.5 Strikeouts | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Jordan Montgomery has a 20% strikeout rate and 7.39 strikeouts per nine innings while averaging five innings pitched per game this season. Montgomery draws a Baltimore Orioles team striking out at a 27.9% clip against left-handed pitching, which is third-highest in the league. Though the matchup is appealing, Montgomery is going to likely require a longer leash to achieve the over on a 5.5 strikeout prop today that carries some heavier juice at -156 odds. Working through six innings just twice in seven starts this season, Montgomery will need a similar allowance to surpass the necessary strikeouts on the over, while his career average of 8.72 K/9 remains shy of one strikeout per inning that would put him on pace to do so should he stay on the mound through six innings. Montgomery’s last start garnered four strikeouts in 4.1 innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox with a total of 86 pitches, which matches his season-high pitch count this year. Last season, Montgomery struck out 12 in a late-season matchup with Baltimore in 5.2 innings pitched (99 pitches). Yet a diminished strikeout rate this season makes it difficult to hold out hope all the stars will align for an over on OddsShopper bearing odds hard to swallow.

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Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Jordan Montgomery UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts (+125)

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D.J. LeMahieu O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

D.J. LeMahieu is off to an impressive start with a .262 batting average, .345 on-base rate and 120 wRC+, and faces a left-handed pitcher in Bruce Zimmermann today. At OddsShopper, LeMahieu has a 1.5 total bases prop at -115 odds with production to merit this pick. LeMahieu has been dominant against lefties, with a .405 batting average, 1.04 OPS and .476 on-base rate in 37 at-bats this year against the split. Zimmermann has a 15.6% strikeout rate and .281 average against with 64.3% medium contact against right-handers this year. LaMahieu’s career .319 batting average against left-handed pitching also lends confidence to a total bases prop with juice more than palatable considering a modest two bases necessary to achieve the over. Zimmermann has produced some admirable starts this season but LeMahieu’s lock on lefty pitching is too hard to ignore as one of the best MLB predictions today.

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Best MLB Prop Bet Today: D.J. LeMahieu OVER 1.5 Total Bases (-115)

Yordan Alvarez O/U 0.5 Total Home Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Speaking of impressive, Yordan Alvarez has lit the fuse of late with a .932 OPS and 171 wRC+. At OddsShopper, Alvarez carries a 0.5 home run prop with +255 odds that remains in reach against Texas Rangers pitcher Glenn Otto. This season, Otto has a 19.8% strikeout rate while surrendering 1.96 home runs per nine innings and 46.3% hard contact which sets the stage for Alvarez’s strengths. Facing left-handed hitting, Otto has a 2.38 HR/9 with one homerun surrendered this season. Alvarez has punished right-handed pitching with a .278 batting average, 1.08 OPS and 211 wRC+ including 11 home runs. Playing at home in the Minute Maid dome adds to the appeal as Alvarez provides excellent odds for the taking to do what he has done best.

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Yordan Alvarez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+255)

Manny Machado O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Manny Machado is having one of the best seasons of his career with a .353 batting average and .453 on-base rate. At OddsShopper, Machado has a total bases prop of 1.5 at +105 odds that lends value to the betting slip. Today, Machado faces Kyle Gibson on the mound, who has a 19.6% strikeout rate down from 2021 and a .229 average against this season. Facing right-handed hitting, Gibson has managed a .241 average against with 1.64 HR/9 and 35% hard contact this season. Machado has thumped right-handed pitching for a .327 batting average, .874 OPS and 153 WRC+, as he has generated 33 hits in 101 at bats against the split in 2022. In his last appearance, Gibson allowed eight hits against with six earned runs including a home run surrendered in 3.2 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers. At plus-money odds, Machado’s two bases necessary to cash in on the prop appear as another of the best MLB predictions today.

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Manny Machado OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+105)

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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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