NBA First Basket Prediction & Prop Bet Picks Today 5/27: Celtics vs. Heat

Who is going to play the Golden State Warrior in the NBA Finals? The Boston Celtics lead this series 3-2 against the Miami Heat and are favored by 8.5 points at home tonight after beating the Heat 93-80 on the road in Game 5. Scoring has been difficult in the half-court for the Heat, as this game total is down to 201 points. It will be a tough for the Heat to force a Game 7, but they have the pieces to do so and have already won on the road in this series. We’re going to dive into some of the best options for NBA first basket predictions and first basket prop picks today for Game 6.


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NBA First Basket Prediction & Prop Bet Picks Today 5/27

Last night, we picked the winner with Kevon Looney +1400 to score the first basket! Let’s see if we can make it two in a row. We had Jaylen Brown and Max Strus in Game 5 and they both had a field goal attempt to win the first basket prop, but failed to convert. Instead, it was Robert Williams, who scored on an offensive putback nearly 2.5 minutes into the game. I’m loving this first basket prop bet and think we have a good chance at back-to-back winners tonight!

Celtics vs. Heat Game 6 | Friday, May 27 | 8:30 p.m. ET

Let’s dive into the starters and their odds to score the first basket, plus who scored in the first five games.


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The Starters and Odds

  • Jaylen Brown +400
  • Bam Adebayo +500
  • Jayson Tatum +550
  • Jimmy Butler +600
  • Max Strus +800
  • Robert Williams +950
  • Al Horford +1000
  • Kyle Lowry +1200
  • Marcus Smart +1200
  • P.J. Tucker +1200

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First Baskets By Each Game

  • Game 1 – Grant Williams (Started for Al Horford)
  • Game 2 – P.J. Tucker
  • Game 3 – Max Strus
  • Game 4 – Derrick White (Started for Marcus Smart)
  • Game 5 – Robert Williams

Stud NBA First Basket Prop Bet: Jimmy Butler +600

This series has been filled with role players making the first basket. Can a stud finally get into the winners circle? With their backs against the wall, I’m picking Jimmy Butler, who feels like a strong value at this number. Butler leads not only the Heat, but any player in the series in first-quarter points in the playoffs with 6.3 per game. He had a driving floater for the first field goal attempt in Game 5 that missed, but he has been aggressive very early in each of the first five games. The Heat have also won the tip in three out of their five games, which bodes well for Butler at least getting a first field goal attempt again. Over the last two games, Butler is shooting 21.9% from the field, but all we need is the first one to drop.


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Longshot NBA First Basket Prop Bet: Al Horford +1000

After hitting the longshot last night, the confidence is rising to hit another, especially in this series where it has happened in all five games. Al Horford is the pick here, as he, too, had a chance in Game 5 to win the first basket prop, but it was on his missed shot that Robert Williams had the putback. The 35-year-old veteran has been awesome for the Celtics not only in this series, but during their playoff run. Horford is averaging nearly a double-double in this series with 12.8 points and 9.8 rebounds per game, while shooting 65.6% from the field. His low field goal attempts is a worrisome, but Horford has had many looks early in these games with the Heat focusing on Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown.

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