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Best NBA Picks and Parlays Tonight: Expert Bets & Player Props for Wednesday, 3/2/22




This could potentially be a tricky situation for the NBA slate tonight, as four of eight games have a spread of 11 points or higher. The good news is six of the eight games have a total of over 225 points, and that makes games a little easier to target. Even in a blowout, individual players can still hit their props, and OddsShopper can provide the picks for the NBA parlay.

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Wednesday is a perfect opportunity to use Awesemo OddsShopper to build some of the best NBA picks and parlays today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less. Take these NBA betting today, then head to OddsShopper and find your best odds.

Best NBA Picks and Parlays Tonight

The first step is locating the new Parlay Builder tab on the OddsShopper home page, which is very simple to do. After that, the user can customize to their heart’s content. OddsShopper offers the parlay bets by state, sportsbooks and a variety of parlays. This article will be featuring the Prop Party Parlay, which gives up to five player prop bets that will give you the best chance to win based on our Awesemo simulations. The prop party is the most popular betting combo within the Awesemo community and Alex “Awesemo” Baker, the world’s No. 1 daily fantasy player, uses these almost exclusively when he is looking for an edge. It is always a smart idea to bet each wager as a solo piece as a way to build the bankroll. Parlays by their nature are harder to hit, which is why the reward is so large. Wednesday’s version of the Prop Party features four wagers as of 11:30 a.m. on the Caesars Sportsbook, so be sure to check for any updates.

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Malcolm Brogdon Over 4.5 Rebounds

It is not all that often OddsShopper has a wager that boasts an expected win rate of 69% and an ROI of +120, but that is the situation for Malcolm Brogdon tonight. Brogdon is still finding his footing for the Indiana Pacers after missing an extended period with an Achilles injury, but he played 28 minutes in his last game. It should be expected that he plays another 28 to 30 minutes tonight against the Orlando Magic, and Brogdon is averaging 5.1 rebounds this season. Orlando is just 25th in rebounding overall and just 23rd in rebounds allowed outside of the paint. Only 0.6 rebounds per game for Brogdon come inside of three feet of the basket, so this is an excellent spot for him at an even better return.

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Joel Embiid Over 30.5 Points

This is a massive number, but the projection is just as high at 32.9 points with an expected win rate of 60% from OddsShopper. Joel Embiid has now played two games with James Harden and has averaged 35.5 points in those games while taking just 18 shots in each game. The offense has been clicking on all cylinders, as Harden has made a miraculous recovery from his injuries as a Brooklyn Net. Philadelphia has scored 133 and 125 points in the past two games, and they face the New York Knicks for the second straight game tonight. It may be a stretch to see Embiid shoot 27 free throws again, but he also does not shoot 38.9% from the field very often either. The Knicks are short on any players who can contain Embiid and with a player of Harden’s caliber as a running mate, it has never been easier for Embiid to rack up the points. On top of everything else Embiid has going, the Knicks allow the most points per possession to post-ups this season, while Embiid leads in points per game in that play type.

C.J. McCollum Over 2.5 3-Pointers

The acquisition of C.J. McCollum by the New Orleans Pelicans has worked out well for McCollum, who is averaging 28 points per game with his new team. Those points include taking 7.6 3-point attempts per game and hitting 43.4% of them, a step above his seasonal rate of 39.2%. The Pelicans are facing the Sacramento Kings tonight, who play at the eighth-fastest pace in the league and sit in the bottom five in defensive rating. On top of that, the Kings are tied for the fourth-highest field goal percentage allowed from a 3-point distance. With McCollum having a usage rate of 28.3% and an expected win rate of 68% from OddsShopper, this is an easy pick for the NBA parlay.

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Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 Points

The last leg comes from the Utah Jazz as they face the Houston Rockets, and this game has a 14-point spread. That is not exactly surprising as the Rockets are among the worst teams in the league, but they play at the fastest pace in the league and still sit dead last in defensive rating. Even if he sees fewer minutes than normal if the game gets out of hand, Donovan Mitchell can easily light them up, and he is averaging 25.9 points per game (ninth in the league) as it is. In addition, his usage rate is 32.9% and his true shooting is up to 58.2%. Mitchell has ratcheted up his scoring to 27.9 points per game since he has come back from a concussion on Feb. 4, and Houston has no player capable of defending him at all. The Awesemo Parlay Calculator gives a return of +1206, and OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 56%, making this a great pick for the NBA parlay.
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