The phrase “pivotal Game 5” will be said roughly 164 times on the broadcast tonight when the Boston Celtics take on the Heat in Miami, but the implications of this game are massive. It is not very often that a team recovers from losing Game 5 to win the next two and win the series, although the Celtics did just accomplish that feat in the previous round. With so much on the line, there are plenty of picks to make in the NBA betting market tonight with the help of OddsShopper! Let’s go over some of the best Celtics vs. Heat same game NBA parlay.
Best FREE NBA Same Game Picks & Parlays Today
Max Strus O/U 11.5 Points
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This series has been topsy-turvy and injuries have played a significant role on both sides. Max Strus has also had an up-and-down first four games, scoring 11 and 16 points, but also having games where he scored six and zero. OddsShopper has a 55% expected win rate for him tonight and he is shooting 9-of-26 from 3-point distance in the series. That has been dragged down a little by a zero-for-four performance in Game 4 but one factor that may push Strus to score more is the status of Tyler Herro. He was benched due to injury in Game 3 and missed Game 4, and the reports are Herro has a groin injury that typically takes weeks to heal up. Game 3 was the best game for Strus, as he went six-of-12 from the floor, and that was when Herro only played 20 minutes. Even if he is active, it is hard to see Herro being as effective as usual. The Heat will need the team to step up as a unit to replace Herro’s 19.5 points per game and Strus has averaged 11.4 points per game in the playoffs.
NBA Same Game Parlay Pick: Max Strus Player Prop Pick | OVER 11.5 points
Jayson Tatum O/U 6.5 Rebounds and Al Horford O/U 8.5 Rebounds
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Despite having a shoulder issue at one point during this series, Jayson Tatum still crashed the boards in Game 4 even in a lopsided victory and collected eight boards. He is averaging just under seven rebounds through this series and through the playoffs as a whole, he is close to 12 rebound chances per game. Tatum really knows when to pick his spots as well because his conversion rate is 67.4%, the highest on the team in the postseason. As a team, the Celtics are winning the rebounding battle quite handily, as they average 45.8 per game and Miami is sitting at 38.5. The expected win rate for Tatum from OddsShopper is 52%. This wager also carries a +120 ROI, which really jumps up the return of the parlay overall. The role of Robert Williams also comes into play here because his knee injury has been difficult to manage. The fewer minutes he plays, the better chances Tatum has to grab an extra rebound or two to get him over the top.
Additionally, adding Al Horford‘s rebound prop makes sense here even though the ROI is only -134. OddsShopper has a 58% expected win rate and all of the logic that goes in Tatum’s favor cuts the same way for Horford. He has snagged a total of 27 rebounds over the past two games and is averaging a 64.9% conversion rate himself, not to mention Boston dominating the glass overall.
NBA Same Game Parlay Pick: Jayson Tatum and Al Horford Player Prop Picks | OVER 6.5 rebounds and OVER 8.5 rebounds
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Marcus Smart O/U 12.5 Points
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Marcus Smart did sit out in Game 4 with an ankle injury, but it would be surprising if he cannot go tonight. If he does not, the parlay would just play with the other three props so this should not be a big deal. When he has been on the court this series, Smart has gotten the best of the Miami defense with 24 and 16 points scored on 14-of-33 shooting from the field. One aspect that could change for Smart is he has been driving to the hoop 9.5 times per game in the postseason. If his ankle is still bothering him, Smart could wind up settling for 3-point attempts and has gone six-for-16 from 3-point range in two games. Miami is allowing a 43.9% frequency of 3-point field goals so the opportunities should be there for Smart regardless of the health of his ankle. OddsShopper agrees with a 55% expected win rate.
Betting Pick for NBA Parlays: Marcus Smart Player Prop Pick | OVER 12.5 points
Celtics vs. Heat Same Game NBA Parlay Odds: +1227
If these four picks all hit, the return from the Awesemo Parlay Calculator is +1227! All four of these players are going to have a strong chance to exceed their respective wagers and a $10 wager can turn into $122.70 tonight!
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