The Pittsburgh Steelers received the magic they needed in Week 18 but whether it carries over to Arrowhead Stadium upon facing the Kansas City Chiefs for “Super” Wild Card Sunday Night Football is the question. The Awesemo team has launched OddsShopper, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021-22. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Wild Card Weekend NFL player props available based on the tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for Wild Card Weekend’s Steelers vs. Chiefs Sunday Night Football matchup.
Best NFL Player Prop Bets: Sunday Wild Card Playoffs
With the latest groundbreaking features in sports betting featured in OddsShopper, finding your best bets has never been as easy as it is now. With the ability to simply filter, sort and bet, you can now land the best bets and odds in 30 seconds or less. You can even create a Prop Party Parlay with a mix of your own favorite props of the day. Also be sure to check out OddsShopper’s Matchups Page to see the full breakdown of each game on any given slate.
Tyreek Hill Over 5.5 Receptions (-114, SugarHouse)
He’s given cause for concern with recent performances extinguished by nagging injury yet Tyreek Hill forecasts as a top offensive option in “Super” Wild Card Weekend’s edition of Sunday Night Football. Hill has averaged 6.5 catches per game and projects for 6.6 catches against Pittsburgh, translating to OddsShopper‘s 67% expected win rate and 26% return on investment for the over. The Steelers have held opposing wide receiver corps to 11.64 receptions per game and rank fifth in defensive pass DVOA against the WR1 position. Hill and the Chiefs have tried quietly going under the radar about his lingering heel injury with a combined 60 receiving yards on nine catches over his past three games. Missing Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the backfield could only spell more pitches to Hill and Darrel Williams, adding to a considerable prop value slightly up from standard juice. A full catch beneath his season average, snag the over on Hill’s catch total on Sunday night.
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Ben Roethlisberger Under 24.5 Completions (-115, DraftKings)
The going away party for Big Ben Roethlisberger continues (and presumably concludes) on Sunday Night Football where a lofty completion total may also be put to bed on the under against Kansas City’s secondary. Roethlisberger’s averaged 24.37 completions per game at a 64.5% rate while projecting for 23.1 completions against the Chiefs, extending to OddsShopper‘s 66% expected win rate and 23% return on investment for the under. Kansas City has allowed 23.41 completions per game to opposing quarterbacks alongside a 92.0 passer rating, ranking 10th in defensive receiver coverage by Pro Football Focus. Roethlisberger will embrace the return of JuJu Smith-Schuster since his absence beginning in Week 6, with the Chiefs defense ranking 23rd in defensive pass DVOA while surrendering 23 completions in their Week 16 annihilation of Pittsburgh. But 25 is a large ask for most quarterbacks, thus the mild juice for the under on Roethlisberger’s completions appears the safer route.
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Chase Claypool Under 3.5 Receptions (+130, Caesars)
The return of Smith-Schuster may help or hinder the efforts of Chase Claypool come Sunday night in Chiefs Kingdom while projections would insinuate the latter. Claypool has averaged 3.9 catches per game and projects for three receptions against Kansas City, aligning OddsShopper‘s 82% expected win rate and 28% return on investment for the under. The Chiefs have allowed 12.23 catches per game to opposing wide receivers, ranking 21st in defensive pass DVOA against the WR2 position with a 61.9% catch rate. Claypool managed four receptions in their Week 16 matchup with the Chiefs while raking three or fewer catches in eight of 13 games this season. With an original prop line being a full catch above (at 4.5 receptions) the plus money odds remain that much more attractive at a reduced catch line for Claypool at Caesars and other books.
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