Connect with us

DraftKings

MLB Spotlight Pitchers for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, July 1 (FREE)

Josh Engleman

Published

on

FREE MLB picks: Our FanDuel MLB DFS Cheatsheets column highlights value plays in each price range for fantasy baseball lineups for July 1

MLB DFS:  Monday, July 1 has us one week away from the All-Star Break and kicking off a holiday week.  There is a 1:07pm ET game and then a five game set beginning at 7:05pm ET on Yahoo, DraftKings and FanDuel. Before you lock in your fantasy baseball lineups, make sure to check out Awesemo’s MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.

Get a risk free bet + 2 months FREE of Awesemo+ platinum all-access!

For Monday’s free Spotlight Hitters and Stacks article click here 


I wanted to put a different spin on Spotlight DFS Pitchers, so I’m giving everyone a peek behind the curtain on how I look at them. Below you’ll find two tables, one for DraftKings and one for FanDuel, with the pitcher pool for today’s slate. In the table, you’ll find the pitcher’s name, salary, my projection and my percentage likelihood that they hit a particular target score.

This is the information that helps me make my decisions for which pitchers to roster. Using my projected stat line for a pitcher, I can estimate their chances of scoring 45+ FD points or 30+ DK points. These targets ignore the points acquired for getting the win, as I use the Vegas odds to set those scores for my pitchers.

Since I am a strict MME player in baseball, these are the thresholds I’ve determined I want on a day-to-day basis to try and win a tournament. Because of the difference in roster construction between the sites, I end up with a concentrated pool on FanDuel and a more spread out pool on DraftKings.

FanDuel

NameFD$FDFD%
Walker Buehler$1020039.213.7%
James Paxton$980034.29.0%
Jose Berrios$960035.711.0%
Dallas Keuchel$900028.43.7%
Tyler Glasnow$880027.53.1%
Anthony Desclafani$840030.44.2%
Mike Fiers$830027.91.6%
Dakota Hudson$790025.40.9%
Marcus Stroman$780030.53.4%
Eric Lauer$770024.11.9%
Austin Voth$760023.70.9%
Vince Velasquez$760030.23.5%
Zach Plesac$740023.11.4%
Jose Urquidy$700026.61.5%
Justus Sheffield$690021.40.6%
Pablo Lopez$680026.03.9%
Alec Mills$680021.90.6%
Johnny Cueto$670022.91.2%
Nathan Eovaldi$650025.01.9%
T.J. Zeuch$630015.90.2%
Asher Wojciechowski$600019.00.9%
Steven Brault$590025.41.1%
Zach Davies$570018.61.0%
Taylor Clarke$560018.40.3%
Antonio Senzatela$560018.80.4%
Patrick Sandoval$550015.70.2%
Joseph Palumbo$550011.60.1%
Eric Skoglund$550015.30.3%

DraftKings

NameDK$DKDK%
Walker Buehler$1170021.812.4%
James Paxton$1120018.38.4%
Jose Berrios$1080019.19.9%
Marcus Stroman$1030016.23.2%
Anthony Desclafani$990016.54.1%
Dallas Keuchel$960015.43.4%
Johnny Cueto$930012.01.2%
Austin Voth$900012.00.9%
Justus Sheffield$870010.50.6%
Zach Plesac$850011.41.4%
Dakota Hudson$810012.60.9%
Mike Fiers$790014.61.6%
Jose Urquidy$750014.01.4%
Eric Lauer$720012.51.9%
Tyler Glasnow$690014.83.1%
Alec Mills$690011.00.7%
Patrick Sandoval$67007.40.2%
Pablo Lopez$650014.03.7%
Vince Velasquez$620016.03.3%
T.J. Zeuch$59007.50.2%
Eric Skoglund$56007.10.3%
Antonio Senzatela$54008.60.4%
Joseph Palumbo$54005.50.1%
Asher Wojciechowski$52008.80.9%
Zach Davies$47008.81.0%
Taylor Clarke$45009.30.4%
Steven Brault$430012.81.1%
Nathan Eovaldi$410013.11.9%

Yahoo

NameY$YY%
Walker Buehler$5423.311.4%
James Paxton$4520.09.0%
Mike Fiers$4216.31.7%
Jose Berrios$4221.29.0%
Tyler Glasnow$3915.84.5%
Vince Velasquez$3817.43.8%
Anthony Desclafani$3718.24.3%
Taylor Clarke$3510.40.6%
Dallas Keuchel$3417.63.3%
Pablo Lopez$3416.14.0%
Marcus Stroman$3317.93.2%
Zach Plesac$3313.21.5%
Nathan Eovaldi$3314.52.6%
Eric Lauer$3214.52.1%
Steven Brault$3214.31.3%
Johnny Cueto$3213.61.5%
Dakota Hudson$3214.21.0%
Alec Mills$3112.60.8%
Austin Voth$3113.71.0%
Jose Urquidy$2815.81.7%
Asher Wojciechowski$2610.41.1%
Justus Sheffield$2612.00.8%
Antonio Senzatela$2610.40.5%
Patrick Sandoval$258.60.3%
T.J. Zeuch$259.00.3%
Joseph Palumbo$256.30.2%
Eric Skoglund$258.60.4%
Zach Davies$2510.51.2%

I’m not going to lie. This is going to be a struggle. This is the most difficult slate of pitching to break down all year. There’s not really a single talented pitcher on the entire slate. No one stands out. Ownership and hitting stacks should largely dictate your pitching decisions.

Tail Awesemo's Sports Betting Picks Today!

FanDuel MLB DFS Pitcher Picks

On FanDuel, Mike Minor is the only guy priced north of $10K. He’s one of just two guys (Logan Allen) priced higher than $7500. Currently, Minor is projected for 5.6 strikeouts, which is the highest number on the slate. For reference, Max Scherzer was just over 11 yesterday. While he has the highest overall projection, I’m not sure I want to be paying up all that much. He’s just a bit too expensive to go crazy, especially in Texas against an Angels team that doesn’t strikeout much. Trevor Williams looks good enough at just $7200, but it’s clearly a tough matchup against the Cubs. If Ryan Yarbrough really is the guy for the Rays today, then he’s likely the “safest” play on the slate. He’s a solid starter in a pitcher’s park against a putrid Orioles offense. $6600 is a bit of a bargain in this spot. I expect him to be my most owned starter.

DraftKings MLB DFS Pitcher Picks

DraftKings looks pretty similar. Paying up for Minor is fine, but it’s not exactly an exciting move. Jeff Samardzija is normally easy to ignore, but today is not like every other day. While San Diego isn’t the same pitcher’s park as it has been in the past, it’s still good for pitchers. The Padres strikeout out more than average, so it looks like Samardzija will be in play as a solid SP2. Honestly, you can even use him as an SP1 if you want to pair him with Yarbrough or Adbert Alzolay. Outside of Adrian Houser, I think every single pitcher on the slate is viable on DK.

Yahoo MLB DFS Pitcher Picks

Most of my opinions for Yahoo mirror my thoughts from DraftKings. Minor is $48, which is fine but not exciting. Williams and Samardzija look like a decent pairing in the mid $30s. Alzolay at $28 is just shy of the Williams/Shark duo. Much like DraftKings, I’m willing to roster everyone except for Houser. One thing to note, Tom Eshelman and Jose Suarez aren’t available, so there are only eight arms to choose from. Good luck!

Check out today's FREE DFS tool of the day

Of course, please do stop by our Awesemo YouTube channel for loads of FREE MLB DFS content, including fantasy MLB lineup advice on The Strategy Show with Josh Engleman and Loughy, as well as MLB picks on Four Corners with Chris Spags, and the MLB Deep Dive with Awesemo, Loughy and ShipMyMoney, where they’ll discuss Awesemo’s MLB rankings.

Josh is Contributor for Awesemo.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Awesemo's Premium Slack. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

Sign up to Receive Expert DFS Advice & Exclusive Offers From Stokastic

Subscriber Counter

We respect your email privacy

More MLB