NBA Player Props: Can We Trust Stephen Curry? (March 20)

After a thrilling weekend of March Madness, the NBA returns to the forefront of the basketball world tonight. But even with the lack of college basketball action, bettors looking to find the best NBA player props can easily get overwhelmed by the onslaught of on-court action this time of year. Even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Stephen Curry player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Monday.

Today’s Top NBA Player Props | March 20

Stephen Curry O/U 6.5 Assists

The Golden State Warriors will line up against the Houston Rockets tonight in what could devolve into a blowout. The Rockets have no reason to win and every reason to lose — especially since the Charlotte Hornets could catch up with them to secure a bottom-three record. That could limit Curry’s effectiveness on Monday.

Stephen Curry is averaging only 6.2 assists per game and 5.3 since the All-Star Break. That’s not great relative to this number. Unsurprisingly, NBA Bet Pro is projecting Curry for only 5.5 assists tonight, which gives this play an expected win rate of 59%. Bettors can find plenty of other plays with a similar edge by subscribing to NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Stephen Curry Under 6.5 Assists (-132) at BetRivers

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Immanuel Quickley O/U 13.5 Points

The New York Knicks will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves this evening. The Wolves have a number of players on the injury report, including Rudy Gobert and Anthony Edwards, so the Knicks may take an early lead and never look back.

NBA Bet Pro doesn’t expect much from Immanuel Quickley tonight. Although the books have his line at 13.5, the model projects him for only 11.6 points. Quickley is averaging 13.6 points per game this year but should have a below-average night this evening. This play has an expected win rate of 56%, better than the implied odds of 53.5% available at BetMGM. Readers new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book.

Best NBA Player Prop: Immanuel Quickley Under 13.5 Points (-115) at BetMGM

Draymond Green O/U 7.5 Rebounds

Another member of the Golden State Warriors, Draymond Green, makes for a sharp fade this evening. Green is averaging only 7.3 rebounds per game this year and 7.5 since the All-Star Break but hasn’t gone over this number all that often.

Green is projected for exactly 7 rebounds tonight, per NBA Bet Pro. Yet the odds for the under sit in the plus money despite this play having an expected win rate of 51%. Bettors can lock in this play at a plus-money price via Caesars Sportsbook. Readers yet to register at Caesars can get their first bet on the house up to $1,250!

Best NBA Player Prop: Draymond Green Under 7.5 Rebounds (+104) at Caesars

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Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.