NBA Player Props: Fade Jrue Holiday's Passing? (March 24)

With March Madness back underway, the NBA takes a step back from the forefront of basketball action. However, plenty of value remains on the NBA betting markets. Bettors looking to find the best NBA player props can easily get overwhelmed by the onslaught of on-court action this time of year, and even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Jrue Holiday player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Tuesday.

Today’s Top NBA Player Props | March 24

Jrue Holiday Prop O/U 8.5 Assists

The Milwaukee Bucks will square off against the Utah Jazz late tonight. With the Jazz missing so many key pieces, a blowout victory is well within the range of outcomes for Milwaukee, and NBA Bet Pro recommends fading Jrue Holiday — at least as a passer.

Holiday is averaging only 7.3 assists per game. That number ticks up to 7.9 when looking at only his starts since the All-Star Break, but that boost still doesn’t reach this number. NBA Bet Pro has Holiday dishing out only 7.4 assists tonight, which gives the under an expected win rate of 62% — better than the implied odds (59%) available at FanDuel. Bettors can find plenty of other mispriced props by subscribing to NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Jrue Holiday Under 8.5 Assists (-144) at FanDuel

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Marvin Bagley III Prop O/U 0.5 3-Pointers

The Detroit Pistons have long since been eliminated from the playoff race, but this player prop bet for Marvin Bagley III still has plenty of value. The Pistons will face the Toronto Raptors, who are looking to secure a bid to the play-in tournament, this evening.

Bagley is in line for 0.5 3-pointers tonight, per NBA Bet Pro, giving this play an expected win rate of 51%. But with the books stacking the juice on the over at +110 (47.6%), bettors are actually getting a solid deal relative to the implied number available at BetMGM. Readers new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book.

Best NBA Player Prop: Marvin Bagley III Over 0.5 3-Pointers at BetMGM

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Pat Connaughton Prop O/U 5.5 Rebounds

Another member of the Milwaukee Bucks, Pat Connaughton, stands out as a player to fade in tonight’s likely blowout. Connaughton is projected for only 4.9 rebounds yet has a betting total of 5.5 at sportsbooks. Connaughton is averaging only 4.9 rebounds per game this year and only 4.2 since the All-Star Break.

NBA Bet Pro is in love with this prop because of Connaughton’s inconsistent role. The wing is averaging only 21.9 minutes per game since the All-Star Break and has seen the floor for less than 20 minutes in four of the team’s recent games. Connaughton notched exactly two rebounds in all of those contests. Head to Caesars Sportsbook to lock in this one. Readers yet to register at Caesars can get their first bet on the house up to $1,250!

Best NBA Player Prop: Pat Connaughton Under 5.5 Rebounds (-108) at Caesars

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Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.