NBA Player Props: Fade Jalen Brunson on the Glass (May 8)

Two crucial Game 4s await NBA fans tonight — both the Miami Heat and Los Angeles Lakers have a chance to secure 3-1 series leads at home this evening. While coming back from a two-game series deficit can be done, it’s not the position either the New York Knicks or Golden State Warriors would like to be in. With so much on the line, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Jalen Brunson player prop.

Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Monday’s playoff action.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | May 8 Playoff Games

Rui Hachimura Prop O/U 13.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (PRA)

The Los Angeles Lakers haven’t used their role players consistently during this series. The blowout nature of Games 2 and 3 have certainly messed with minutes, but in a Game 4 that should be competitive, bettors should plan to fade Rui Hachimura.

Hachimura has averaged 17.8 PRA in the playoffs, but much of that production came against the Memphis Grizzlies. Hachimura has averaged only 13.7 PRA this series, most of which came in the blowout loss in Game 2. NBA Bet Pro projects Hachimura for only 11.8 PRA tonight, giving the under an expected win rate of 56%.

Other high-value player props abound on tonight’s slate. Bettors can find far more than just this play at Caesars. To view them, simply sign up for NBA Bet Pro — new users can even get a one-week free trial of the product!

Best NBA Player Prop: Rui Hachimura Under 13.5 PRA -111 at Caesars

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Jalen Brunson Prop O/U 4.5 Rebounds

The New York Knicks have leaned on Jalen Brunson during the playoffs. Brunson has answered the call by averaging 24.4 points, 5.1 assists and 4.6 rebounds. But with Julius Randle back in the mix, it makes sense to short Brunson’s production on the glass.

Brunson has gone over this number in five of his eight playoff starts. However, he went over it in only 21 in 68 of his regular-season appearances. The books have gotten a bit too bullish on his rebounding abilities, so let’s back the under — NBA Bet Pro has Brunson coming down with only 3.5 rebounds tonight.

Brunson’s low rebounds projection gives the under an impressive expected win rate of 62%. That’s much better than the odds available at PointsBet (59.1%). Readers yet to register there can get five second-chance bets worth up to $50!

Best NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson Under 4.5 Rebounds -145 at PointsBet

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.