NBA Player Props: Fade Jimmy Butler's Shooting (June 4)

The Denver Nuggets took Game 1 by a double-digit margin, and they’ll look to keep rolling tonight in Ball Arena. But Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat have proven that they won’t go down without a fight, and with so much on the line, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Jimmy Butler player prop.

Enter Stokastic’s Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA and MLB Bet Pro pull lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a reduced-price first month for only $24.95!

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Sunday’s playoff action.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | Heat-Nuggets Game 2

Jimmy Butler Prop O/U 0.5 3-Pointers

The Miami Heat have often lit up their opponents from beyond the arc in the playoffs. That didn’t happen in Game 1, and if it does happen in Game 2, don’t expect Jimmy Butler to contribute much — if at all — from the perimeter.

Butler isn’t known for his sharpshooting, and although he has made several clutch 3-pointers in the postseason, he has still gone without a 3-pointer in 8 of his 18 playoff starts this year (44.4%). Bet Pro has him sinking only 0.5 3-pointers here.

The sportsbooks are making a mistake by stacking the juice on the under. We can find the under priced at +160 (38.5%) at DraftKings. The under should hit 41% of the time, per Bet Pro, so we’re getting a steal at the current market price.

Best NBA Player Prop: Jimmy Butler Under 0.5 3-Pointers +160 at DraftKings

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Aaron Gordon Prop O/U 2.5 Assists

What NBA player prop bettor is putting much thought into the Aaron Gordon assist market? Not many, which is exactly why Bet Pro is such a valuable tool. This unique under angle has a solid 4% expected ROI at Caesars Sportsbook.

Gordon should dish out only 1.6 assists tonight, per Bet Pro. He dished out only one assist in Game 1 and is averaging only 2.4 assists per game in the postseason. Gordon has gone over this prop in eight of his 16 playoff appearances but in only three of his nine home starts.

If you want to exploit more mispriced NBA and MLB player props, plenty of other lines are popping on Bet Pro tonight. To view them, simply sign up for a subscription — new users can even get the first month for the reduced price of $24.95!

Best NBA Player Prop: Aaron Gordon Under 2.5 Assists -139 at Caesars

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.