NBA DFS Contrarian Picks Today: Sixers Filled with Contrarian Pieces (March 5)

Using Stokastic’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust tool, let’s dive into the player pool to discuss the best NBA DFS contrarian picks for today’s action, which include Victor Wembanyama and Kelly Oubre Jr.

One of the keys to a winning NBA DFS lineup is differentiation, so without contrarian picks like the ones below, you’ll struggle to separate from the pack in tournaments. Subscribe today for access to our industry-leading resources, including our lineup generator (available for NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA), our DFS simulation tools (available for NFL, NBA, MLB, PGA and MMA) and our industry-leading projections for every sport.

NBA DFS Contrarian Picks Today: Tuesday, March 5

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NBA DFS High-Priced Contrarian Pick

Spurs-Rockets: Victor Wembanyama

Stokastic’s Optimality Projection
DraftKings: 12.30%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $10,700

It’s always fun to be able to roster Victor Wembanyama at low ownership, and he’s the top contrarian stud on DraftKings at $10,700. Wemby has been sensational all season, but he’s taken his game to the next level since the All-Star break. Averaging 48.4 DraftKings points per game on the season, that number rises to a whopping 63.48 in the six games since the break. Finally playing 30+ minutes per night consistently, Wemby’s ceiling is on par with the top players in the league. Despite his clear upside, Wemby’s rising $10,700 price tag has the field sleeping on him in a big way on DraftKings.

Wembanyama is projected to be in just 7.30% of lineups on DraftKings. With an optimal percentage of 12.30%, it’s clear why Wemby stands out as one of the best plays on the slate from a leverage perspective. While his current questionable tag might have something to do with his low ownership projection, Wembanyama is undoubtedly an elite tournament piece at $10,700.

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NBA DFS Mid-Priced Contrarian Pick

76ers-Nets: Kelly Oubre Jr.

Stokastic’s Optimality Projection
DraftKings: 9.40%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $5,300

Kelly Oubre Jr. is the highest graded leverage play in Stokastic’s tools, and he’s the obvious top contrarian mid-tier play on DraftKings at $5,300. Oubre has been much more solid than spectacular in his first season in Philly, but he’s playing well right now, and there’s a lot to like about him on DraftKings at a falling price tag.

Oubre has been a fantasy basketball enigma for much of his NBA career, and nothing about this season would suggest that anything has changed. In the absence of Joel Embiid, however, the Sixers are dearth of scoring options, and Oubre’s production off the bench is needed when the 76ers’ go-to options don’t have it going. Although efficiency has always been an issue for Oubre, his ability to occasionally catch fire makes him an elite tournament play on DraftKings at a price tag that continues to drop.

Oubre is projected to be in just 3.00% of lineups but has a 9.40% optimal percentage. While his floor might be lower than other players in his price range due to his overall inconsistencies, Oubre has massive upside at $5,300, and he’s not getting nearly the love he should be getting on DraftKings.

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NBA DFS Low-Priced Contrarian Pick

76ers-Nets: Mo Bamba

Stokastic’s Optimality Projection
DraftKings: 10.90%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $4,400

Sticking with the 76ers, Mo Bamba is the top contrarian value play on DraftKings at $4,400. Although he’s not getting completely forgotten about, the field is backing off of Bamba in a big way after a couple of disappointing performances.

While he’s usually just a fringe rotation piece when Embiid is healthy, Bamba has started three straight games for a 76ers team desperate for a front court presence. Unfortunately for Bamba, however, he’s only averaging 17 minutes played over the past three games so it’s irrational to just think he plays more tonight. That said, there’s no reason he couldn’t play more and Bamba is very Andre Drummond-like in his ability to rack up fantasy points when he’s on the floor. Although there’s definitely opportunity cost in using a center or utility spot on a $4,400 Bamba, he’s got slate breaking upside if the minutes play out in his favor.

Stokastic’s tools currently have Bamba as one of the highest graded leverage plays on the slate. As of this writing Samanic is projected to be optimal 10.90% of the time this slate plays out on DraftKings. With only 6.80% of lineups projected to roster him, Bamba is an easy way to get contrarian without sacrificing any upside.

Editor’s note: Here’s a free look at what our Bamba data looks like in our industry-leading NBA DFS Sims tool. We are hiding some data to be fair to users who have paid for this premium product.

Feel free to look over all our DFS Sims packages to find the best bang for your buck, but here is a simple link to get you started for our NBA DFS Sims options.

You will notice, however, we also offer a Sims All-Access option, which allows use to save while receiving the most data possibly as you navigate any and all DFS waters.

Final Thoughts on NBA DFS Contrarian Picks Today

Check out the Stokastic NBA Process Show with Josh Engleman on YouTube, breaking down all of the key elements for today’s slate. Brought to you by BetMGM – new users, use this link to receive $150 in Bonus Bets when you bet $5! Full details here.

Matt Belman graduated from Tulane University with a degree in Consumer Behavior. He has been playing and analyzing DFS full time since 2018. He has qualified for the 2023 DraftKings NBA World Championship (5x), the 2023 DraftKings MLB World Championship (2x), the 2023 FanDuel MLB World Championship (2x) and the 2023 DraftKings NFL World Championship. You can find him on X at @fantasytipsmatt.

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