NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: No One Tops Nikola Jokic (March 22)

Once again, tonight’s slate is packed with injury question marks, so you must do your homework and stay on top of the news. Be sure to check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to gain insight into how breaking news can impact the slate. Additionally, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are valuable tools that can aid you in making NBA DFS picks and building strong lineups that have the potential to outperform your competition. Tonight, they recommend targeting Nikola Jokic.

NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Picks Today | March 22

High-End Tier

Nikola Jokic ($11,500) has the highest projection on the slate in a decent matchup with the Wizards. Jokic is projected for 12% ownership, a 50% chance of booming and 11% chance of being optimal, per the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.

Damian Lillard ($10,500) has a great value score tonight, as the Trail Blazers are without Anfernee Simons or Jerami Grant. They are taking on the Jazz, ranked 24th in the league in defensive rating. Lillard is projected for 38% ownership, a 60% chance of booming and 23% chance of being optimal.


Cam Reddish ($4,500) should play big minutes for the Blazers and has a great value score. Reddish is projected for 42% ownership, a 26% chance of booming and 28% chance of being optimal.

Jusuf Nurkic ($6,200) is a great producer and could see a minutes bump against the big Utah frontcourt. Nurkic is projected for 14% ownership, a 32% chance of booming and 14% chance of being optimal.

Gary Trent ($5,200) is currently listed as questionable but has a great leverage score and could see a boost in usage if teammate Scottie Barnes is ruled out against the Pacers. Trent is projected for 1% ownership, an 8% chance of booming and 7% chance of being optimal.

Devin Vassell ($6,500) should have significant usage against the Bucks, as the Spurs will be without Tre Jones, Devonte Graham, Romeo Langford, Charles Bassey, Doug McDermott, and possibly Keldon Johnson and Jeremy Sochan. Vassell is projected for 3% ownership, a 16% chance of booming and 6% chance of being optimal.

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Value Tier

Matisse Thybulle ($3,900) has the best value score on the entire slate for the depleted Blazers. Thybulle is projected for 31% ownership, a 22% chance of booming and 27% chance of being optimal.

Santi Aldama ($4,200) has played inconsistent minutes recently for the Grizzlies, ranging from 17 to 28 minutes over the past three games. This should reduce his ownership, resulting in Aldama having a great leverage score. Aldama is projected for 8% ownership, an 11% chance of booming and 13% chance of being optimal tonight against the Rockets.

Bismack Biyombo ($3,700) could get a second consecutive start tonight for the Suns with Deandre Ayton sidelined. Biyombo is projected 18% ownership, a 19% chance of booming and 13% chance of being optimal against the Lakers.

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Neil Orfield
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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