NBA DFS Projections: Elite Leverage Spot With Nikola Jokic (April 19)

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NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Picks Tonight | April 19

High-End Tier

Nikola Jokic ($10,900) has the highest projection on the slate against the twin towers of the Timberwolves. Jokic is projected for 15% ownership, a 50% chance of booming and 19% chance of optimality, per the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10,500) has been upgraded from doubtful to questionable for tonight’s tilt with the Heat. If he goes, Antetokounmpo will likely come in at reduced ownership due to the injury designation.

LeBron James ($9,900) has a great leverage score against the Grizzlies. James is projected for just 12% ownership with a 37% chance of booming and 19% chance of optimality.

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Mid-Tier

Bam Adebayo ($7,400) has the best value score on the entire slate against the Bucks. Adebayo is projected for 47% ownership with a 48% chance of booming and 44% chance of optimality.

D’Angelo Russell ($5,800) had has DraftKings price dropped $1,000, despite playing 35 minutes in Game 1, to the lowest salary he has had in years. Russell is projected for 50% ownership with a 30% chance of booming and 49% chance of optimality.

Jamal Murray ($7,600) has a nice leverage score, as he’s projected for just 25% ownership with a 34% chance of booming and 31% chance of optimality.

Value Tier

Gabe Vincent ($4,200) played 33 minutes in Game 1 and leads a relatively weak group of value plays. Vincent is projected for 56% ownership with a 12% chance of booming and 48% chance of optimality.

Duncan Robinson ($3,100) could see extra opportunities for a Heat team that will be without one of its most prolific 3-point shooters in Tyler Herro. Robinson is projected for 1% ownership with a 1% chance of booming and 7% chance of optimality.

Author

Neil Orfield

Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.