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NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Picks Tonight | April 19
High-End Tier
Nikola Jokic ($10,900) has the highest projection on the slate against the twin towers of the Timberwolves. Jokic is projected for 15% ownership, a 50% chance of booming and 19% chance of optimality, per the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.
Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10,500) has been upgraded from doubtful to questionable for tonight’s tilt with the Heat. If he goes, Antetokounmpo will likely come in at reduced ownership due to the injury designation.
LeBron James ($9,900) has a great leverage score against the Grizzlies. James is projected for just 12% ownership with a 37% chance of booming and 19% chance of optimality.
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Mid-Tier
Bam Adebayo ($7,400) has the best value score on the entire slate against the Bucks. Adebayo is projected for 47% ownership with a 48% chance of booming and 44% chance of optimality.
D’Angelo Russell ($5,800) had has DraftKings price dropped $1,000, despite playing 35 minutes in Game 1, to the lowest salary he has had in years. Russell is projected for 50% ownership with a 30% chance of booming and 49% chance of optimality.
Jamal Murray ($7,600) has a nice leverage score, as he’s projected for just 25% ownership with a 34% chance of booming and 31% chance of optimality.
Value Tier
Gabe Vincent ($4,200) played 33 minutes in Game 1 and leads a relatively weak group of value plays. Vincent is projected for 56% ownership with a 12% chance of booming and 48% chance of optimality.
Duncan Robinson ($3,100) could see extra opportunities for a Heat team that will be without one of its most prolific 3-point shooters in Tyler Herro. Robinson is projected for 1% ownership with a 1% chance of booming and 7% chance of optimality.