NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: Ja Morant Getting Back to His Usual Self (March 29)

With so many injury question marks on tonight’s NBA DFS slate, you must do your homework and stay on top of the news. Be sure to check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to gain insight into how breaking news can impact the slate. Additionally, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are valuable tools that can aid you in making NBA DFS picks and building strong lineups that have the potential to outperform your competition.

NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Picks Today | March 29

High-End Tier

Luka Doncic ($12,000) currently has the highest projection on the slate and should project even better if Joel Embiid, currently listed as questionable, is ultimately ruled out for the opposing 76ers. Doncic is projected for 4% ownership, a 26% chance of booming and 6% chance of optimality, per the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.

Ja Morant ($9,000) has a great value score on the high end, as the Grizzlies are expected to be without Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Tyus Jones against the Clippers. Morant is projected for 54% ownership, a 77% chance of booming and 43% chance of optimality.


Keon Johnson ($5,000) currently has the highest value score on the entire slate for a Trail Blazers team that will be missing all of its stars. Johnson played 31 minutes off the bench last time out and now gets a nice matchup against a Kings team ranked 25th in defensive rating and 11th in pace. Johnson is projected for 51% ownership, an 83% chance of booming and 73% chance of optimality.

Jordan Nwora ($5,200) projects nicely for the Pacers, with Tyrese Haliburton, Buddy Hield, and Chris Duarte out and Myles Turner questionable against the Bucks. Nwora is projected for 28% ownership, a 32% chance of booming and 21% chance of optimality.

Isaiah Joe ($4,800) has a nice leverage score for the Thunder as they take on the Pistons without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Joe is projected for 3% ownership, a 12% chance of booming and 8% chance of optimality.

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Value Tier

John Butler ($3,000) currently has the highest leverage score on the slate, as he is projected to play more than 20 minutes for the depleted Blazers tonight. Butler is projected for just 2% ownership, a 47% chance of booming and 27% chance of optimality.

Santi Aldama ($4,000) should play big minutes for the Grizzlies tonight. Aldama is projected for 44% ownership, a 42% chance of booming and 33% chance of optimality.

Normal Powell ($4,300) is listed questionable on the injury report but will project great if he plays, as the Clippers will be without Paul George and Marcus Morris. Powell is projected for 13% ownership, a 35% chance of booming and 27% chance of optimality.

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Neil Orfield
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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