NBA DFS Projections Today: Giannis Soaring in Pace-Up Battle (March 13)

There will be some interesting decisions to make before lock tonight, as all of the top eight point-per-dollar plays on the slate currently come from the Pistons-Pacers tankathon, which is the only game that starts at lock. As always, it is important to stay on top of the news, so be sure to check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to gain insight into how breaking news can impact the slate. Additionally, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are valuable tools that can aid in building strong DFS lineups that have potential to outperform the competition.

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NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Plays Today

High-End Tier

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,900) currently has the highest projection on the slate in a nice matchup with a Kings team that is top 10 in pace and bottom 10 in defensive rating. Antetokounmpo is questionable, so be sure to pay attention to news. Assuming he plays, Antetokounmpo is projected for just 6% ownership, a 15% chance of booming and 11% chance of being optimal, according to the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.

Trae Young ($9,400) has a nice value score against the fast-paced Timberwolves. Young is projected for 27% ownership, a 27% chance of booming and 27% chance of being optimal.

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Mid-Tier

Isaiah Jackson ($4,600) is one of the best point-per-dollar plays on the slate. The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Myles Turner, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin and possibly Buddy Hield in a matchup with a Pistons team that has the third-worst defensive rating in the league. Jackson is projected for 45% ownership, a 48% chance of booming and 36% chance of being optimal.

Jalen Smith ($4,700) is projected for just 16% ownership, a 35% chance of booming and 30% chance of being optimal.

Andrew Nembhard ($5,000) is projected for 36% ownership, a 24% chance of booming and 24% chance of being optimal.

Killian Hayes ($5,700) is also great point-per-dollar play on the other side of this game, as the Pistons will be without Jaden Ivey, Marvin Bagley, Bojan Bogdanovic, Isaiah Stewart, Hamidou Diallo, Alec Burks and Cade Cunningham. Hayes is projected for 55% ownership, a 52% chance of booming and 35% chance of being optimal.

Value Tier

R.J. Hampton ($3,300) currently has the best value score on the entire slate. Hampton is projected for 18% ownership, a 29% chance of booming and 27% chance of being optimal.

Chris Duarte ($4,200) is also a great value play. Duarte is projected for 45% ownership, a 43% chance of booming and 36% chance of being optimal.

Author

Neil Orfield

Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.