PrizePicks NBA Player Projections: Giannis Chasing a Sky-High Scoring Line Tonight (March 16)

Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Projections Tool is a valuable resource for identifying profitable NBA player projections for March 16. Whether you’re an experienced bettor or a beginner, the tool can help you uncover promising bets by identifying disparities in the betting lines. The top plays for today include Giannis Antetokounmpo and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, whose projections are worth investigating.

PrizePicks NBA Player Projections| March 16

Pascal Siakam Over 3.5 Free Throws Made

Siakam has been taking fewer free throws since Jakob Poeltl showed up, averaging 4.7 per game so far. However, Siakam still takes an average of 6.8 free throws per game this season. Although 3.5 may seem low for a player who averages 5.3 free throws made per game, the matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may work in Siakam’s favor. The Thunder rank 26th in foul rate, so they put people on the line more frequently than other teams. This may result in a normalization of Siakam’s free-throw attempts. The pick is set at 4.6, but even if Siakam’s free throw attempts fall somewhere between his average and his recent numbers, 3.5 free throws made is still too low for Siakam in this matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 10.0 Free Throws Made

Although Gilgeous-Alexander averages 9.7 free throws made per game, his projection for this game is nine. The Thunder face the Toronto Raptors, who rank above average in foul rate, putting people on the line slightly less frequently than other teams. Additionally, the Raptors play at a slower pace than the Thunder, which may result in fewer opportunities for Gilgeous-Alexander to get to the line. With fewer possessions available and a high line at 10.0, the under on Gilgeous-Alexander’s free throws seems like a safe bet.


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Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 33.5 Points

Antetokounmpo is always a reliable pick, and the over on 33.5 points is no exception. He averages 31.5 points per game and has exceeded 33.5 points in three of his last four games. In his last game, Antetokounmpo scored 36 points against the Suns, and he has shown no signs of slowing down. The matchup against the Pacers may be a mixed bag, but Antetokounmpo has been able to dominate against the best defenses in the league. He is a solid pick for the over on 33.5 points.

Josh Okogie Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds

This line projects at 19, well above the over/under of 15.5. Okogie has averaged 13.5 points and 4.5 rebounds in the 12 starts he has made alongside key players like Devin Booker, Chris Paul and DeAndre Ayton. This gives him a total of 18, which is 2.5 above the line. Additionally, Okogie will be playing against a below-average Orlando defense, and the matchup is favorable for him. He is likely to get sufficient minutes and plenty of opportunities to score and grab rebounds since Kevin Durant is not playing in the game.

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Author
Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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