As the NBA season nears its end, PrizePicks offers DFS players some impressive player projections to take advantage of. In this article, we will delve into four selections that boast win rates close to or exceeding 60%. We’ll provide comprehensive analyses of each pick, supported by insights from Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Projections Tool.
PrizePicks NBA Player Projections | March 26
Donovan Mitchell Under 3.5 3-Pointers
Donovan Mitchell Under 26.5 Points
Both of these picks are favorites on NBA Bet Pro for player over/unders, and despite PrizePicks setting the points line a point lower than some sportsbooks, it is still getting a 61% expected win rate. The 3-pointers under is even better at 63%. Mitchell has had some ceiling games in the past few weeks, both in terms of scoring and making 3’s, but he has also had some floor games. He has hit the over on 26.5 points in only four of his last eight and the over on 3.5 3’s in five of those eight.
Stokastic is higher on Darius Garland today, and even though the Cavaliers’ matchup with Houston is conducive to offense, Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Projections Tool is projecting Mitchell for 2.4 3’s and 21.7 points.
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Pascal Siakam Under 23.5 Points
Like Mitchell, Siakam’s scoring has been all over the place of late. He has hit this over in four of the last five, including a couple of 30-point outings, but he has also been under 20 points three times in the last seven and under 23.5 in eight of the last 12. And his playing time has not fluctuated at all — Siakam’s lowest minutes total is 34 in that stretch. The Wizards are also a slow-paced team, so Toronto is in the rare game where its opponent is not a massive pace-up for the 25th-ranked Raptors.
Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Projections Tool only projects Siakam for 19.4 points today, giving the under on 23.5 a 60% expected win rate.
Zach LaVine Over 4.0 Rebounds
This is the only top pick getting under 60% win expectancy in Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Projections Tool, but it is also the highest-ranked over of the day. The Lakers have a number of injury question marks, with Anthony Davis probably and D’Angelo Russell and LeBron James questionable. Any movement on those guys could swing the projections here, so keep on eye on their statuses.
LaVine is averaging 4.6 rebounds a game, so it is not clear why a pace-up game like this would cause PrizePicks to omit the hook. Granted, he has not gone over 4.0 rebounds in any of the last five games, but three of those were pushes. With the Lakers putting up shots as they are, especially if Russell plays, there will be rebound opportunities, and Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Projections Tool has LaVine grabbing just shy of five boards.
Keep in mind that the Bulls-Lakers game tips at 3:30 p.m. ET.
