NBA PrizePicks: Closeout Game Statement for Nikola Jokic (May 22)

The Lakers are on their last legs, down 3-0 to the Nuggets heading into Game 4. Still, there are some good value spots for NBA PrizePicks, even if the Lakers are hitting the wall. We are up to 19-7 on NBA PrizePicks over the last few weeks, and once again we are using Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro to find the top two NBA PrizePicks for May 22.

Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro lets you sort by the win percentage column to see the greatest difference between the projection set by PrizePicks and Stokastic’s projections. Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks.

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NBA Player PrizePicks | May 22

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Nikola Jokic More Than 60.0 Fantasy Points

Jokic projects for about 40 minutes, and he averages around 1.5 fantasy points per minute. This seems like a spot where the Nuggets close out the Lakers, and if that is the case, it is going to come on the back of a big Jokic day. His PrizePicks stats projections are 26.5 real points, 13.5 rebounds and 10.0 assists, so his more/less marks make for a triple-double. As the day goes on, those projections are going to increase — Stokastic has him at 30.2 points, 14.7 rebounds and 9.6 assists.

This is going to be pretty smooth sailing for Jokic, as the Lakers are running out of gas and Jokic is primed to make a statement tonight.

Lebron James Less Than 52.0 Fantasy Points

If going more on Jokic, it makes sense to go less on James. Stokastic projects him for 50.2 fantasy points, reasonably shy of the 52.0 mark, and LeBron simply seems to be running on fumes. He may not be healthy, and if this game starts to get out of hand, he is not going to be involved nearly as much down the stretch.

This does not seem like a good spot for the Lakers heading into Game 4. They may wilt in the second half, especially if the Nuggets build up a lead, and in that scenario LeBron getting to 52 fantasy points is a longshot.

These are just two of the +EV plays on the NBA PrizePicks slate. Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro has 54 more plays with more than a 50% expected win rate! Check them out HERE.

Author

Josh Engleman

Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].