This NBA Sunday brings us to Miami for Game 3 of the Heat-Celtics matchup, offering some great spots for NBA PrizePicks. Once again, we will utilize Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro to identify the top two NBA PrizePicks for May 21.
Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro lets you sort by the win percentage column to see the greatest difference between the projection set by PrizePicks and Stokastic’s projections. Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks.
NBA Player PrizePicks | May 21
Jaylen Brown More Than 36.0 Fantasy Points
This one seems pretty simple; it is a little like the Bam Adebayo situation from the past week or two. Brown is going to play 40 minutes tonight assuming the game is competitive — the spread is 3.5, so it is expected to be competitive, with Boston playing for its season. Brown was awful in Game 2, but it is not like the playing time is going anywhere. Over the past 30 days, Brown has scored 0.98 fantasy points per minute. If he is playing 40 minutes today, that is 39.2 fantasy points, well above the 36 mark.
He could even play a little more than 40 minutes; it is not like the Celtics have anything for which to save him. This number might make more sense if this were a regular season game, but in the playoffs the more is far likelier.
Gabe Vincent More Than 19.5 Fantasy Points
Stokastic has Vincent at 23.5 fantasy points on PrizePicks, as he is playing significantly more minutes right now than Kyle Lowry. This situation could change; however, he should get 30-plus minutes at 0.68 fantasy points per minute. That is not even that good of a rate, but at 32 minutes that puts him at 21.8 fantasy points already — and he could push for 36 to 38 minutes.
The Heat are up 2-0, and Vincent has played a ton, so going more than 19.5 makes a lot of sense. It is unlikely he will play less than 30 minutes, and as long as he gets to that number, he should get more than 19.5 fantasy points.
These are just two of the +EV plays on the NBA PrizePicks slate. Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro has 39 more plays with more than a 50% expected win rate! Check them out HERE, and also check out OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Tool!!