PrizePicks NBA Player Projections: PrizePicks Missing the Mark Again With Bam Adebayo (May 29)

It is Game 7 time! The Celtics have won three straight to even the series, and now the Heat have their backs to the wall. With that in mind, Monday’s NBA game is chock full of intriguing plays for NBA PrizePicks, and we will utilize Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro to discover the two most promising NBA PrizePicks for May 29.

Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro lets you sort by the win percentage column to see the greatest difference between the projection set by PrizePicks and Stokastic’s projections. Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks.

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NBA Player PrizePicks | May 29

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Bam Adebayo More Than 35.0 Fantasy Points

This should be labeled as a taco — the difference in Stokastic projection and PrizePicks projection is even greater than the typical taco. Adebayo played 46 minutes in Game 6, and at a very minimum he projects for 40 minutes tonight. Using that (low) projection as a baseline, he still averages a fantasy point per minute and will get a ton of usage since this is Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Stokastic has him at 46.3 fantasy points today, and PrizePicks has him as if he is playing mid-30s minutes.

A more accurate minutes projection is in the 44 range, and if he gets 35.5 fantasy points, that is only 0.81 fantasy points per minute. That is not even close to his real rate. Not putting this more play on a bunch of NBA PrizePicks cards is simply leaving money on the table at this point.

Marcus Smart More Than 19.5 Points + Assists

Malcolm Brogdon did not play last game, and he is not going to suddenly be healthy tonight. Even if he gets into the rotation, he is not going to get a lot of time. Smart projects for 40 minutes as a result. The Celtics have won three straight with Smart playing a lot of minutes, so they are likely going to stick with what has been working. This feels like a big Smart game in a win-or-go-home situation.

Stokastic projects Smart for 21.8 points + assists, well above the 19.5 mark. Smart also works a fantasy score, points + rebounds + assists or straight points play, but with his assist numbers high and the minutes projected to be there, the points + assists more gets the nod here.

These are just two of the +EV plays on the NBA PrizePicks slate. Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro has 29 more plays with more than a 50% expected win rate! Check them out HERE.

Josh Engleman
Josh is Contributor for where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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