Underdog Best Ball Quarterback Rankings: Which 2024 Rookie QB Is Going First?

Stokastic’s FREE Best Ball Rankings are LIVE, and you can start building out your Underdog Best Ball draft boards right now! With six quarterbacks going in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft, you’re probably wondering where they stack up in terms of Best Ball ADP, rankings and fantasy point projections. Well, worry not because we have all the answers for you there. Let’s dive into some Underdog Best Ball quarterbacks like Caleb Williams and see where the rookie quarterbacks rank for the 2024 Best Ball fantasy season.

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Underdog Best Ball Rookie Quarterback Rankings 2024

These quarterbacks are listed in order of their selection in the NFL Draft, not their current Underdog Best Ball ADP.

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Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears

ADP: 97.3; Stokastic Overall QB Rank: 13

Unsurprisingly, the No. 1 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft has the highest ADP among rookie quarterbacks on Underdog. Even independent of Williams’ status as the highest-touted rookie in terms of real-life NFL, he is also in an offensive situation that looks to be pretty dynamic: Chicago added Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze, and D.J. Moore returns after a strong season catching passes from Justin Fields. Add in Cole Kmet and D’Andre Swift for some added pass-catching depth.

There is also the matter of the Bears defense being quite bad in 2023 and not improving much, thus leading to pass-heavy game scripts for Williams.

The only downside is the Bears offensive line, which ranked in the bottom third of the league last year. Still, it is not as bad as some have touted it to be, and there are some genuinely good players on the offensive line in Teven Jenkins and Braxton Jones.

Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders

ADP: 104.3; Stokastic Overall QB Rank: 10

Williams may have the highest ADP among the rookies, but Daniels grades best in Stokastic’s projections. The situation in Washington is not quite as good for Daniels as Williams has in Chicago. However, Daniels has elite rushing upside that Williams lacks, though he is a decent runner himself.

Daniels’ legs are not just a feature; they figure to be a heavy gameplan element for the Commanders, assuming he can stay healthy. As a result, Stokastic projects Daniels for about 4 more fantasy points on Underdog this year than Williams. That isn’t a huge disparity, but it is enough for Daniels to slot in three spots ahead of Williams in our Underdog Best Ball quarterback rankings.

Drake Maye, New England Patriots

ADP: 212.24; Stokastic Overall QB Rank: 29

Maye went third in the NFL Draft and seems to have as much upside as anyone, outside of Williams. The size, arm strength and athleticism have earned Josh Allen comparisons, fair or not.

But like Allen went through, odds are that Maye is going to go through a development period. For one, he’s a bit raw — less raw than Allen was, but raw, nonetheless. More importantly, however, the Patriots roster is really bad. From a talent perspective, an argument could be made that Maye has the worst offensive supporting cast of anyone in the NFL.

Then there is the matter of Maye not being locked in as starting quarterback like most of the other rookies are. Jacoby Brissett is currently listed first on the depth chart, and though this will be Maye’s job eventually, losing weeks to Brissett is not going to help his Best Ball projections. As such, Maye is actually fifth among rookies in season-long Underdog Best Ball quarterback ranking.

Michael Penix Jr., Atlanta Falcons

ADP: 215.4; Stokastic Overall QB Rank: 42

We’ll keep this one short.

Penix’s Underdog projections being higher than 0 is entirely based on the possibility of Kirk Cousins facing injury coming off a torn Achilles. If Atlanta’s plan works out, Penix will not sniff the field.

That said, projections have to account for a Cousins absence, and Penix is indeed the No. 2 QB on the Falcons depth chart. Thus, he gets to project for a handful of fantasy points this year, though he ranks a distant last among these six rookie quarterbacks.

J.J. McCarthy, Minnesota Vikings

ADP: 182.8; Stokastic Overall QB Rank: 25

Sam Darnold is No. 1 on the Vikings depth chart for now, but the assumption is that Darnold will grab that spot at some point this preseason barring catastrophic underperformance. I mean, we all know what we get with Darnold. What’s the point in even considering him as a starting QB with a top-10 rookie on the roster?

If Williams has the best pass-catching corps among the rookies, McCarthy’s is not far behind. It’s not every day a rookie walks into throwing to arguably the best receiver in the NFL, plus a legit deep threat in Jordan Addison and a great pass-catching back in Aaron Jones.

McCarthy also has what Williams doesn’t: An elite pass-blocking line, headlined by a potentially All-Pro-caliber tackle in Christian Darrisaw. Does McCarthy actually have the talent to lead a high-end offense? We’ll see, but he’s in good position to prove it early.

Bo Nix, Denver Broncos

ADP: 208.1; Stokastic Overall QB Rank: 26

Nix managed to come out of the draft as only the second-biggest reach in the mind of analysts, and yet his situation places him as the Day 1 starter without any real competition. That’s something that Maye and McCarthy cannot say.

The Broncos also have some decent weapons, namely Courtland Sutton and Javonte Williams, so Nix has some options — as well as a strong offensive line in front of him.

ADP really favors McCarthy strongly here — about a 15-spot difference — but Stokastic projections are extremely tight. McCarthy’s pass-catcher advantage is leading to him earning 1 more fantasy point this year in our Underdog Best Ball rankings. That should tell you that Nix projects to be somewhat of a difference maker right out the gate.

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Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.

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