Even though there are only 6 games tonight, we’ve got some decent contests to work with, and a few teams that are still playing for something. Minnesota and Toronto will likely be to two spots that are most heavily-owned in tournaments, but they each have two solid lines that will get some attention, so I don’t think we’ll have a major chalk stack tonight. We’ll have Awesemo weigh in first, then I (Tommienation1) will follow up with some extra analysis on each stack.
WPG1: Connor-Scheifele-Wheeler ($20,200 DK/$20,000 FD)
“The Jets’ top line should have a lot of opportunities to put up fantasy points tonight on the road, where their team has an implied total near 3.5.”
The top line for Winnipeg (A points grade) should get a hard-match with the Jean-Gabriel Pageau line which is one of the worst shutdown lines in the NHL. They have allowed almost 31 Scoring Chances Against per 60 minutes and over 14 High-Danger Chances Against per 60 minutes at even-strength. The power-play matchup is also exceptional, as the Jets have the league’s 5th-ranked conversion rate, while the Senators have the 29th-ranked penalty-kill. As a spend up option on both sites, it’s hard to do better than this line tonight.
MIN2: Parise-Koivu-Granlund ($15,800 DK/$18,500 FD)
“This Wild line provides some value on both sites despite a phenomenal matchup against one of the league’s worst defensive teams at home.”
The Koivu line (A points grade/A DK value/A FD value) should be tasked with slowing down Connor McDavid and his linemates. The great part about that is the McDavid line gives up defensively what it takes offensively, allowing 36.4 Scoring Chances Against per 60 minutes and 15.9 High-Danger Chances Against per 60 minutes. They should see big minutes against the McDavid line at even-strength, and Parise, Koivu, and Granlund all find themselves on the power-play in some fashion, making them fantastic plays against the Oilers’ 75.9% penalty-kill.
LA2: Rieder-Carter-Toffoli ($14,700 DK/$16,200 FD)
“The Kings have a 3.2 implied team total in what is essentially a playoff game tonight against the Avalanche. The second line could pay big dividends as they have one of the best even-strength matchups of the night.”
The Carter line should avoid the Avs top line tonight at even-strength and instead get to go against their depth lines, which are much less daunting. The second line for the Avalanche allows over 13 High-Danger Chances For per 60 minutes at even-strength, and we know Colorado has a tough time staying out of the penalty box (5th-most Times Short-Handed), so Carter and Toffoli could be the beneficiaries. This looks like a great spot against a team that is on the back-end of road back-to-back.