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Best MLB Bets Today (7/27): Baseball Prop Betting Picks & $200 at BetMGM

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Wednesday has a split 14-game schedule for player prop betting. Thanks to the FREE tools at OddsShopper, bettors can comb through the best available betting lines to find the best returns on investment. Clear skies and some humidity across the league mean some long balls will carry out, and there are not expected to be any weatherly interruptions throughout the day. If you’ve shied away thus far, you still have time to lock in your absolutely FREE $200 at BetMGM (yes, FREE!) with first deposit in a legal online sports betting state.


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Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 7/27

Trea Turner O/U 0.5 Stolen Bases | Claim $200 FREE

Trea Turner has a .308 batting average and 17 stolen bases this season with an 0.5 stolen bases prop rewarding +380 odds on the over. Tonight, Turner squares off with Patrick Corbin who has allowed a .313 average and 4.76 FIP to righties. Corbin’s allowed 10 stolen bases with a 71.4% stolen base rate surrendered this season forging a superb matchup for Turner’s base-stealing ability. Turner has yet to attempt a stolen base over his past 11 games, but one could argue he’s due for an attempt given the matchup. Corbin also has a 64.2% left-on-base rate, giving Turner more upside should he safely reach bases. Drawing nearly 4-to-1 odds on one of the league’s best base stealers, this is one of the best MLB betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Trea Turner OVER 0.5 Stolen Bases (+380)


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Yu Darvish O/U 6.5 Strikeouts | Claim $200 FREE

Yu Darvish has a 23.7% strikeout rate and .208 average against with a 6.5 total strikeouts prop offering -115 odds on the over. Darvish draws a delectable matchup with the Detroit Tigers who represent the fifth highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching at 24.1%. Darvish is averaging 0.945 strikeouts per inning and just over 6.1 innings pitched per start, which paces him for 6.05 strikeouts tonight at his current rate.

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Yet Darvish is expected to face eight hitters in the Tigers order with upward of a 20% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching in addition to a 12% swinging-strike rate collectively. Darvish has been blazing of late with at least nine strikeouts per start in four of his past five performances. The house juice is a minimal eyesore to spend up on and Darvish offers one of the best strikeout props available on a day where plus money odds are few and far between.

If you’re on the fence about Darvish’s loftier strikeout total, you can lock it in at no risk when getting your FREE $200 at BetMGM; no questions asked! BetMGM will match your deposit up to $200 to fire away on Darvish to mow down the Tigers, and if it goes awry, you’re not losing anything out of pocket.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Yu Darvish OVER 6.5 Total Strikeouts (-115)


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Francisco Lindor O/U 0.5 HRs | Claim $200 FREE

The Subway Series continues for the Mets against Domingo German, and over his career German has been a target for left-handed hitting, with 1.85 HR/9 and 4.81 FIP in the split. In his return to the mound against Houston, German allowed one of his two home runs to lefty Yordan Alvarez. Francisco Lindor has a .189 ISO and 11 home runs against lefties this season. Defending homefield against a rusty German, Lindor offers an outstanding 4-to-1 return if he plants just one long ball in the stands.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Francisco Lindor OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)


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Nathaniel Lowe O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE

Marco Gonzales has reverse splits this year, allowing a .286 average, 1.86 HR/9 and a 6.28 FIP against lefties hitting this season. In his last two starts, Gonzales has surrendered 20 hits, 10 earned runs and three home runs, including one against lefty Yordan Alvarez. Fittingly for this prop, Nathaniel Lowe has been more effective against fellow lefties, with a .290 batting average, .892 OPS and 151 wRC+. Lowe had two hits in three of five games, including two doubles and two home runs. Making up for the juice spent on Darvish, capitalizing on +120 odds for Lowe to lock in two bases on knocks lends to an excellent value to wrap up the day.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Nathaniel Lowe OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+120)

UPDATE 12:54 a.m. ET: As luck would have it, Lowe is on the bench today. Fear not, because Leody Taveras offers +115 odds on over 1.5 total bases and has excelled against lefties, albeit in a limited sample size. Tavares has a .346 batting average, .187 ISO and .921 OPS in 116 plate appearances this season and a career 16.7% HR/FB rate against left-handed pitching. Earning six hits over his past three performances the plus-money odds on Tavares is near identical compensation as Lowe in this fitting battle with Gonzales.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Leody Tavares OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+115)


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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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