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Best MLB Bets Today (7/12): Baseball Prop Betting Picks




A massive Tuesday of MLB player props awaits as all 30 teams are in play, including a doubleheader with a bevy of options for betting. OddsShopper and the Stokastic Player Props Tool will provide the best FREE projections and bets with the greatest values. Unfortunately, the New York Yankees and Gerrit Cole face potential thunderstorms, so keep tabs throughout the day leading up to lock.

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Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 7/12

Will Smith O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Will Smith is on a four-game hitting streak and gets a 1.5 total bases prop with +105 odds on the over against Matthew Liberatore. Facing left-handed pitching this year, Smith has a .305 batting average, .957 OPS and .237 ISO this season. Smith also strikes out at a significantly decreased 8.5% rate against lefties (15.2 strikeout rate overall), while Liberatore has a similar downtick, with a 15.9% strikeout rate against right-handed hitting. Liberatore has struggled with righties to the tune of a 1.74 WHIP, 6.27 FIP and 1.89 home runs per nine innings. Needing just two bases, Smith’s over is sensible value and one of the best MLB betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Will Smith OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+105)

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Ben Rasa’s best MLB bet today comes from the D-Backs vs. Giants. Check out which bet he’s locking in today for big money.

Logan Webb O/U 5.5 Strikeouts | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Logan Webb has a 20.7% strikeout rate and 1.11 WHIP, and today the over on 5.5 strikeouts sits at +112. Webb is averaging just over 6.1 innings per start and .833 strikeouts per inning, pacing him for 5.2 strikeouts. The Diamondbacks have a collective 23.1% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching and will have players in their lineup with at least a 20% strikeout rate against righties. Webb had six strikeouts or more in five of his last eight starts, including 10 against the Phillies with Bryce Harper active. Though Webb’s pace falls beneath this line, the strikeout-loaded Arizona roster lends some confidence; grab the over on Webb’s strikeout total tonight.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Logan Webb OVER 5.5 Total Strikeouts (+112)

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Manny Machado O/U 0.5 HRs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Austin Gomber is starting today for the Rockies, and he has a 17.3% strikeout rate, .318 average against and 1.98 HR/9 against righties this year. In fact, 13 of his 14 home runs allowed have come against right-handed hitters. Though Gomber has limited hard contact to 36.4%, the park factor hinders some of the benefit, considering the league-high 1.91 home runs per game. Manny Machado’s strikeout rate against southpaws dips to 14.1% (from 19.6% overall), and he has 8 of his 15 home runs against lefties this year. Though this pick is very much low-hanging fruit, the odds are enticing enough because Machado has hit three home runs in his past five games, two outside of Coors. Take the 2.3-to-1 odds on Machado to blast another into the stands and move on.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Manny Machado OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+230)

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Hunter Dozier O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Hunter Dozier is expected to return to the Royals lineup and draws +115 odds on a 1.5 total bases prop against Beau Brieske. Dozier has a decent .260 batting average, .766 OPS and .196 ISO when facing right-handed pitching, and eight of his nine home runs have come against righties. Brieske has been blasted by right-handed hitting, allowing a .268 average, 2.13 HR/9 and a 17.2% HR/FB rate this season. Brieske’s 40.2% hard contact and 11.2% barrel rates point to the Royals righties this evening, considering 10 of his 14 home runs allowed have come in the split. This fits the mold for Dozier’s propensity for power against right-handed opposition, plus he has hits in 8 of his past 10 games. This is another plus-money return in a fitting matchup, so take the over here.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Hunter Dozier OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+115)

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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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