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Best MLB Bets Today (7/11): Baseball Prop Betting Picks




The MLB All-Star Game is just a week away, and today we will use OddsShopper and the Stokastic Player Props Tool to find the best returns on investment. Today’s pitching features Max Scherzer back on the mound, in addition to Aaron Nola, two Kellers and Sean Manaea in Coors Field. Humidity aside, there is a clear forecast of weather across all host ballparks, while Kansas City is looking piping hot for potential home run props.

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Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 7/11

Jon Berti O/U 0.5 Stolen Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Jon Berti didn’t make the All-Star reserves, but he does lead the league in stolen bases with 27 this season. Tonight, Berti faces Mitch Keller and draws an 0.5 stolen bases prop rewarding +255 odds on the over. The Pittsburgh Pirates have allowed 0.51 stolen bases per game this season, along with one stolen base surrendered on average over their last three games. Facing right-handed hitting, Keller has allowed a .291 average, 1.58 WHIP and 16 stolen bases (66.7% success rate). Berti has been caught stealing just three times all season and has a .257 batting average and 106 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. With over 2.5-1 odds on just one stolen base, this is one of the best MLB betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Jon Berti OVER 0.5 Stolen Bases (+255)

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Check out Eytan Shander’s best NRFI picks and MLB bets today.

Max Scherzer O/U 7.5 Strikeouts | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Max Scherzer has a 32.7% strikeout rate and .192 average against since his return, and his strikeout prop has +116 odds on the over against the formidable Atlanta Braves. Scherzer is averaging roughly 6.1 innings per start and 1.25 strikeouts earned per inning, pacing him for 7.96 strikeouts. Though the Braves have a collective .247 batting average and .751 OPS against right-handed pitching this season, they strike out at a 24.8% clip, the third highest among MLB teams. With all nine hitters striking out against right-handed pitching above 20% of the time, the chance for Scherzer to strike out eight or more is promising. Atlanta is much better than Cincinnati, against whom Scherzer struck out 11 in his return from an oblique injury last start, but if anyone can get to eight strikeouts, it is Scherzer in a divisional matchup.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Max Scherzer OVER 7.5 Total Strikeouts (+116)

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Bobby Witt Jr. O/U 0.5 Home Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Bobby Witt Jr. has made strides in his rookie season, hitting .263 with a .780 OPS and .201 ISO against righties this year. He gets Michael Pineda, who is allowing 45.3% hard contact, a .226 average and 1.56 home runs per nine against right-handed hitting. Though Pineda has fared slightly better against right-handed hitters this season, for his career he has allowed 1.38 HR/9 and a 13.7% HR/FB rate to righties. The weather in Kansas City is going to be above 93 degrees with 43% humidity today, leading to more balls leaving the park should any command slip. As such, Whitt’s odds at 3-1 to get to a susceptible pitcher make for a worthy dabble to start the week.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Bobby Witt Jr. OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+300)

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Adolis Garcia O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Adolis Garcia has a .248 batting average and .220 ISO, and tonight his 1.5 total bases prop has +110 on the over against Adrian Martinez. Garcia has struck out over 26% against right-handed pitching, but he wields power against righties, with a .223 ISO and 11 home runs. Martinez has a 20% strikeout rate against right-handed hitting, but he allows 43.1% hard contact, a .647 slugging percentage and 4.32 HR/9. Garcia has cooled off of late, with just three hits over his past six games (including a triple); however, an inviting matchup providing plus-money odds creates too much value to ignore.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Adolis Garcia OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+110)

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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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