Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Why You Should Bet on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. HR & Total Bases (Tuesday, August 9)

Tuesday brings the full gamut of MLB matchups, with all 15 teams in action. Thankfully, BetMGM is offering a RISK-FREE BET up to $1,000! Simply signup to designate your preferred risk-free wager and should it falter, BetMGM will match your entry with no questions asked. Let’s get into the best MLB props for Tuesday, Aug. 9.


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Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 8/9

Starling Marte O/U 1.5 Total Bases | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM

Starling Marte has a .294 batting average and .806 OPS, and his 1.5 total bases prop has +110 odds on the over against Mike Minor. In 11 starts this season, righties have carved up Minor for a .317 average, 7.61 FIP and 2.97 home runs per nine innings. Despite a manageable 37.6% hard-contact rate, Minor has surrendered 12.7% barrels, playing into the power of Marte. Marte has smashed lefties for a .327 average and .204 ISO, while Minor has allowed 5.81 hits per game this season and has just one start where he didn’t allow a home run. Coming off a two-hit game, Marte makes for one of the best MLB betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Starling Marte OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+110)


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Alex Cobb O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM

Alex Cobb has a 24.9% strikeout rate, averaging just under 5.1 innings per start and 1.05 strikeouts per inning this season. That would pace him for 5.46 strikeouts tonight. The Padres have a collective 22% strikeout rate against righties, though they are expected to have only three batters with at least a 22% strikeout rate against righties. Should Cobb get through the order twice, five strikeouts are feasible, albeit a risky wager.

However, BetMGM is offering a RISK FREE BET up to $1,000! Should you take the over on Cobb’s strikeouts and he happens to get shelled, BetMGM will match your loss with a free bet of your choice — no strings attached. That said, Cobb has been dealing since returning from injury, with a minimum of five strikeouts in each of his last four starts, including 11 against the Cubs. At considerable plus-money odds, Cobb’s low strikeout line makes for solid value tonight.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Alex Cobb OVER 4.5 Total Strikeouts (+125)

Check out Ben Rasa’s daily MLB picks and predictions, where he gives you the best MLB bets today over on the OddsShopper YouTube Channel.


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Hunter Renfroe O/U 0.5 HRs | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM

Hunter Renfroe has a .254 ISO and 19 home runs this season, and he has a matchup with Jimmy Yacabonis, who is making his first start of the season as the opener for Tampa. Renfroe has six home runs in the past month and has mashed righties all season to the tune of a .255 ISO and 14 home runs. Meanwhile, Yacabonis has allowed a .400 average, 4.5 HR/9, a 42.9% hard-contact rate and a 21.4% barrel rate to righties. Over five seasons in the majors, Yacabonis has allowed a 2.04 HR/9 and 16 home runs to righties. Once Yacabonis exits after an inning or two, Ryan Yarbrough is expected to relieve, and he surrenders 1.51 HR/9 in the split. Renfroe has not hit a home run in nine days, so look for him to get back on track at a 3-to-1 return on investment.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Hunter Renfroe OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+300)


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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. O/U 0.5 HRs | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM

Vladimir Guerrero has a .219 ISO and 23 home runs this season, and tonight’s opponent, Kyle Bradish, has given up a .361 average, 2.56 HR/9 and a 21.4% HR/FB rate to righties this year. In 10 of 12 starts this season, Bradish has allowed at least one home run per game and nine total to righties. Guerrero has four home runs in the past month and only two games in that span without a hit, which also points to his total bases prop. Guerrero hit a home run in back-to-back games just under a week ago against the Minnesota Twins, and he is in great position to continue his onslaught against a suspect righty tonight.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+350)

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 1.5 Total Bases (-117)


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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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