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MUST-BET NBA Player Props Picks Tonight Warriors vs. Celtics Game 4

Henry John



The 2022 NBA Finals are set to resume on Friday night. If there’s one thing for certain, it’s that the championship series between the Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics has plenty of storylines. Warriors superstar Stephen Curry reportedly injured his foot in Game 3. Klay Thompson and Draymond Green complained about the rowdy fans in Boston. Oh, and we don’t even have a true frontrunner to win MVP for the team that leads this best-of-seven series. Such is to be expected in a series that has only seen one double-double stat line through three games. Speaking of stats, the evolution of the NBA prop bets market ahead of the game today has been fascinating to watch. Plenty of worthwhile NBA player props are on the board for bettors to pursue ahead of Game 4.

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Bettors can easily enhance their NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

Andrew Wiggins O/U 5.5 Rebounds

Warriors wing Andrew Wiggins has been flying over his season rebounding average of 4.5 per game all throughout the NBA Playoffs. For a while, oddsmakers were setting his prop total two full boards higher at 6.5. That line has come back down to 5.5 for the NBA Finals, and Wiggins has now exceeded it in back-to-back games. After falling just short in Game 1, he pulled down six and seven boards in the last two contests, respectively. There is absolutely no reason for bettors to shy away from taking Wiggins over 5.5 boards in Game 4 on Friday.

A huge reason for OddsShopper‘s confidence in making this one of our NBA prop bets today is the personnel nightmare that Steve Kerr and the Warriors are facing in this series. Golden State is drastically outsized, especially when neither Kevon Looney nor Draymond Green is on the floor. So why not just ensure that at least one, if not both bigs are on the floor? Well, both Looney and Green are also massive offensive liabilities. When Kerr has elected to play both bigs together, the Warriors have had almost no spacing offensively. The Celtics are a tough defensive opponent as it is, let alone when they don’t have to worry about the shot-making abilities of two players.

When Kerr takes one of his bigs (usually Looney) out of the game, the Warriors have virtually no answers inside against the size and length of Boston. Thus, a long, athletic wing player like Wiggins has no choice but to be active on the glass. Awesemo’s projection of 7.03 rebounds translates to a massive 70% probability that Wiggins successfully clears the NBA player props total. OddsShopper currently shows that bettors can score as much as 10 cents of value over competing prices by targeting optimal -140 odds. This price point combined with the projection yields a 20% expected ROI valuation for this over prediction.

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Best NBA Player Prop Today: Andrew Wiggins OVER 5.5 Rebounds

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Jayson Tatum O/U 6.5 Rebounds

On the full season, Celtics superstar Jayson Tatum averaged 8.0 rebounds per game. He has yet to reach that mark in these NBA Finals, much like he has also yet to exceed his NBA player props total. The market continues to list Tatum’s rebounding prop at 6.5. While he had six boards in both Games 2 and 3 of the series, he has yet to finish with the seven required to cash an over ticket.

Although he has yet to reach that mark in this series, it’s hard to argue against the consistency that Tatum continues to display in the rebounding department. Simply going back to the start of the Eastern Conference Finals, he has finished with no less than five rebounds in every game. His total number of games with six boards or more over that span is eight, and he also finished with eight or more five times in the series against Miami. Considering the fact that the Celtics possess demonstrative advantages over the Warriors when it comes to size and athleticism, one has to believe that it is simply a matter of an extra bounce or two going Tatum’s way to put him over the NBA prop bets line today.

At the time of writing, OddsShopper lists varying amounts of juice on the over for Tatum’s rebounding prop across the NBA betting picks market. By targeting to make this pick using -115 odds, bettors can obtain up to 10 cents of extra value relative to other listings. OddsShopper gives Tatum a 69% probability to eclipse the prop line with a projection of 8.05 rebounds. Putting the projection and optimal price point together leads to a huge ROI rating of 29%.

Now, if you believe that it is too risky to bet that Tatum will snag at least seven rebounds in Game 4 tonight, perhaps winning a little FREE MONEY from BetMGM would be more to your liking. All you have to do is bet $10 to win $200 if either the Celtics or Warriors hit just one 3-pointer tonight. It seems pretty safe to say that is a lock given all of the shooters that adorn the depth charts of both teams in this NBA Finals matchup!

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Best NBA Player Prop Today: Jayson Tatum OVER 6.5 Rebounds

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Payton Pritchard O/U 1.5 Assists

Admittedly, betting over on NBA player props for bench players like Celtics point guard Payton Pritchard gets riskier the deeper we get into this series. While rotations typically tend to tighten up in a big way as a series progresses, the fact that Boston holds a 2-1 series edge could work in the favor of guys like Pritchard to see a little bit more playing time on Friday night. In Games 1-3 of the NBA Finals, he played 16, 19 and 10 minutes, respectively. When it comes to our NBA picks for today, all that matters is that Pritchard is on the floor long enough to match his season average by dishing out two assists.

Based on how things have transpired so far in this series, one has to believe that Pritchard’s season average of 14.1 minutes is not too far-fetched. In the two games during these Finals in which he played more than that, he finished with two assists. In Game 3 on Wednesday, he only managed to dish out one. It’s this lack of reliable playing time that leads OddsShopper to show massive juice to the under on his NBA prop bets total of 1.5 helpers ahead of Game 4.

Pritchard may not see the floor all that often, but he is certainly a crafty passer and playmaker. Perhaps some added garbage time minutes could come about tonight which would also work in his favor as far as getting additional run. When it’s all said and done, OddsShopper believes that a +195 price is too good to pass up on this prop bet. Despite the projections only giving Pritchard a 39% chance of going over the betting line, the price point of nearly 2-1 helps to boost the expected ROI drastically. Bettors who utilize OddsShopper and locate the optimal odds will have the chance to make a wager with a 15% ROI valuation.

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Best NBA Player Prop Today: Payton Pritchard Over 1.5 Assists

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