It has been nearly two full calendar years since we last saw both “Splash Brothers” on the floor together in an NBA game. After recovering from both a torn ACL and then a torn Achilles, Golden State Warriors star Klay Thompson is set to make his season debut tonight. Fans will have the opportunity to watch Thompson and Stephen Curry in action live on NBA TV as the Warriors take on the Cleveland Cavaliers. The revamped Awesemo OddsShopper Tool is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props and betting picks for tonight’s Cavaliers – Warriors matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet projections for none other than the returning Thompson himself.
With help from OddsShopper, the following column aims to find optimal odds and discusses some positive ROI prop bets for Klay Thompson in tonight’s matchup.
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Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | Klay Thompson
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Thompson props below.
Under 12.5 Points (-109, SugarHouse) (Caesars New York Betting Offer)
Sunday’s NBA player props line of 12.5 points is much lower than the 19.5 Klay Thompson has averaged over the course of his playing career. This is to be expected, as Golden State plans to slowly work Thompson back into game shape. Starting out, he is not expected to see any more than 15-20 minutes per contest. As a result, Awesemo is inclined to bet under on his scoring prop in his first game back since the 2019 NBA Finals. OddsShopper plays a helpful role for bettors with this handicap as it shows the majority of sportsbooks actually list this prop a full point lower at 11.5.
Considering that Awesemo projects Thompson for exactly 7.65 points in his return to action, the under on either line is pretty solid. For those who go the extra length to maximize their value and odds, a massive ROI of 75% has been assigned to this under prediction at -109 odds.
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Over 1.5 Rebounds (-133, SugarHouse) (Caesars New York Betting Offer)
Once again, OddsShopper shows a discrepancy within the NBA betting market for Klay Thompson’s rebounding prop tonight. Multiple sportsbooks have this line set at 2.5 rebounds while others are one full board lower at 1.5. Thompson averaged just under four boards per game in 2019, and Awesemo believes he can comfortably snare at least two even in reduced minutes this evening. An exact projection of 2.76 rebounds results in a massive win probability for the over of 76%. At favorable -133 odds, this prop bet is given a 30% expected ROI. Bettors must be careful to place this wager through a sportsbook that has the prop total set at 1.5. There is a stark difference in the value of betting Thompson over 2.5 boards compared to the more favorable line.
Under 1.5 Assists (-161, Caesars) (Caesars New York Betting Offer)
It’s hard to envision Klay Thompson dishing out more than a single assist given that he will only be on the floor for 15-20 minutes in his season debut. As a result, Awesemo prefers betting under 1.5 helpers for the 31-year-old tonight. Unfortunately, the NBA player props market is also on board with this handicap. As a result, the odds for this prop have been juiced heavily to the under. OddsShopper shows that the best price would still require bettors to lay -161 odds. While there is little to no value at that price in terms of ROI, Awesemo’s projections do give the under a healthy win probability of 62%.
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