This NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props, specifically for BetMGM. BetMGM just launched in New York, and new users can take advantage of an exciting offer.
Monday’s NBA action is spread out, with games tipping virtually all day, but this piece will focus on the five-game main slate starting at 7 p.m. ET. It features a combination of sides and player prop bets, which can be extremely profitable given our array of betting tools. The Awesemo Player Prop tool highlights the most exploitable prop bets on each slate, while OddsShopper allows users to find the best price on each prop across the industry.
BetMGM NBA Player Prop Bets
Orlando Magic (+2.5) vs. Portland Trail Blazers
The Magic are not a good basketball team, but neither are the Trail Blazers. The Blazers rank just 26th in net rating this season, and the absence of Damian Lillard unsurprisingly makes them even worse. Their net rating has decreased by 4.4 points per 100 possessions with Lillard off the court this season, which is one of the top marks on the squad. Overall, the Blazers have been outscored by 7.4 points per 100 possessions in that situation.
With that in mind, the Blazers should not be favored in this spot. They have been the second-worst team against the spread this season, posting a mark of 16-26, and they are a dismal 1-5 against the spread as a road favorite. The Magic can pull off the upset.
Fred VanVleet Under 22.5 Points
VanVleet put together a torrid eight-game stretch recently, averaging 30.6 points per game between Dec. 14 and Jan. 9. He was red hot from 3-point range in particular, shooting 45.6% on a whopping 12.9 attempts per game.
Since then VanVleet has come back to reality. He has shot a much more reasonable 40.6% from 3-point range over his past three games, and he is averaging just 20.7 points in those games. He has also hit the under on 22.5 points in two of those games. He draws a brutal matchup on Monday against the Heat. They are strong defensively, ranking eighth in Defensive Rating, and they excel at taking away the 3-pointer. No team allows a lower percentage of shots from 3-point range than the Heat, so they should be able to keep VanVleet in check. If they can limit the damage from 3-point range, it is going to be tough for VanVleet to hit the over on 22.5 points.
Dallas Mavericks (-11.5) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
The Mavericks currently sit at 24-19, which puts them in fifth place in the Western Conference. That said, they have been far from full strength for most of the year. They now have Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis back in the lineup, and they are a different team with both players available.
The Mavericks have also been rolling recently. They have won eight of their past nine, and each of those victories has come by at least 9 points. Seven of those wins have been by at least 14 points, and their average margin of victory in those contests is a whopping 15.88 points.
They should keep rolling Monday against the Thunder. Oklahoma City ranks merely 27th in net rating this season, and they have been outscored by an average of 7 points per 100 possessions. BetMGM has the Mavericks listed as 11.5-point favorites in this matchup, which is the best price across the industry.
Dwight Powell Under 7.5 Rebounds
The return of Porzingis should have a large impact on Powell. He was starting at center while Porzingis was out, but he moved back to the bench in their last game. He ultimately finished with just 13.5 minutes, and he managed just five rebounds.
It is going to be incredibly difficult for Powell to rack up more than seven boards in such minimal playing time. He is averaging just 8.1 rebounds per 36 minutes this season, so he is not a particularly good rebounder for a center. OddsShopper gives this prop a 73% expected win rate, making it one of the most profitable wagers on the slate.
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Los Angeles Lakers (+4.5) vs. Utah Jazz
This season has not gone as hoped for the Lakers. They are currently just 21-22, which puts them in eighth place in the Western Conference standings. They are going to have to survive without Anthony Davis for at least a few more weeks, and the rest of their role players have been extremely disappointing. Russell Westbrook in particular has failed to live up to expectations after being acquired during the offseason.
That said, the Lakers still have LeBron James, and that is enough to keep them competitive. LeBron remains one of the best players in basketball, and he has been dominant of late. He is averaging 33.5 points, 9.3 assists and 5.9 assists over his past 13 games while shooting 54.2% from the field.
Meanwhile, the Jazz have been disappointing in their own right. They did secure a comfortable win over the Nuggets on Sunday, but they had lost four straight prior to that game. Heading into Los Angeles on the second leg of a back-to-back is tough, so this line is a bit too high.
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