The Eastern Conference Finals shift back to South Beach tonight as the series is tied at two games apiece. That has been anything but a true representation of how the Heat and Celtics have played each other, the most recent result being Miami getting blown out of the building in Boston. Jimmy Butler and the rest of the starters were humiliated in a 102-82 loss, but they have also returned the favor earlier at home. Tyler Herro is expected back — although listed as questionable with a groin injury — and joins a bunch of teammates on the injury report. Gabe Vincent and P.J. Tucker are back listed as questionable, along with Max Strus and Kyle Lowry. Despite their Game 5 performance, all but Herro were healthy.
Just one game so far has been decided by less than 10 points and the Celtics are hoping that injuries do not catch up with them tonight. Boston split at home and on the road as it heads into Game 5, and will need Marcus Smart back if it hopes to compete. The Defensive Player of the Year missed Game 4 but is expected to play tonight, along with Robert Williams III. Jayson Tatum may have some extra motivation as he was named First Team All-NBA yesterday.
Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, especially with so many players on the injury report. It has everything needed for NBA betting today. Here are the best NBA bets today and NBA player prop bets for the Celtics vs. Heat.
NBA Player Props & Picks | Celtics vs. Heat
Best Celtics vs. Heat NBA Bets
The easiest place to find the best bets in the NBA is on the one-stop shop for value and where to place a wager. Simply filter, sort the page and find the best return available across all books. Check out more free NBA picks today from all of our betting experts.
Over/Under 203.5 Total Points
It finally took Game 4 to show the ugliest side of the Heat seen this year and go under the point total. Do not expect that to continue with Miami as it returns to a comfortable setting, nor should it be a problem for Boston. Both teams have relied on defense to get here, but the big swings in victories have helped push these totals over the closing gate. This one is absurdly low for three of the four games so far cruising past the total number. Boston will get a better game from Jaylen Brown and Al Horford should continue to work the Heat on the glass. Miami had a historically bad outing from their starting five, which should account for an immediate improvement in their scoring. Be it Strus or a healthy Herro, Miami should continue to stretch Boston’s defense on the perimeter.
Best NBA Bet Today: OVER 203.5 Total Points (-110 BetMGM)| Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM. If either team makes a 3-pointer tonight, you win FREE MONEY.
The best value is always on OddsShopper but it is vital to keep checking throughout the day for the best NBA betting pick today. It is also smart to check as Awesemo’s projections update and shift with injury news.
Victor Oladipo O/U 12.5 Points
One of the best elements of OddsShopper is finding value in the smaller market player props. Those tend to be the most inefficient and using the data and free projections help narrow down the best overall plays. Such is the case here with Victor Oladipo, who stands the best chance of losing production to a better effort from the Heat starting five. Awesemo’s free projection has Oladipo finishing with 10.3 points, along with OddsShopper giving a 66% xWin chance of going under the prop. OddsShopper has a 25% xROI on the prop.
Best NBA Player Prop Bet Today: Victor Oladipo UNDER 12.5 Points (-112 FanDuel)
There is always some inherent risk with any of these plays, but not with our zero-risk offer from BetMGM! FREE money is waiting for you at BetMGM and all you need to do is bet $10 to win $200 if either the Heat or Celtics hit just one 3-pointer tonight.
Robert Williams III O/U 6.5 Rebounds
Two things may jump out when initially seeing this prop: it is another smaller market play and the number for Williams III seems low. Awesemo’s free projection has another light night on the glass for the Celtics big man, finishing with 5.9 rebounds. OddsShopper sees this prop going under the total 62% of the time with their xWin projection, along with a 20% xROI on the play. He is playing through injury against a Heat team with Bam Adebayo roaming the middle. This is an under play in Miami.
Best NBA Player Prop Bet Today: Robert Williams III UNDER 6.5 Rebounds (-105 BetMGM)| Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM. If either team makes a 3-pointer tonight, you win FREE MONEY.
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