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NBA Picks & Parlays Tonight: Best Longshot Bets & Player Props Friday 2/25/22




There is an awful lot of NBA action tonight with nine games and a very competitive slate on tap. Many of the game environments should feature plenty of points and some close games with the focus being on James Harden making his Philadelphia debut for the 76ers.

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This is a perfect opportunity to use Awesemo OddsShopper to make some of the best NBA parlay picks today. Using this fantastic site and basketball betting tips can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple, as it guides you in how to bet on sports, helping you find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.

Longshot NBA Parlay Picks & Player Props Today

The first step is finding the brand new Parlay Builder for OddsShopper. It is located on the top banner and is just one click away. This tool is a game changer because the Awesemo data scientists have built the parlay already. The user has the choice of what type of parlay they prefer to chase, and the state is customizable along with the sportsbook. Though it is rare, underdogs eventually have their day, and when they do, the payouts are nice. Here are our best bets for underdogs if you like to fade the favorites and cheer for the upset at high odds. As a reminder, betting the props individually is always a smart way to build your bankroll. An underdog parlay is not exactly the most stable return if it is always being bet just as a parlay. Let’s find out what the best-projected bets are for Friday on FanDuel and build some NBA parlay picks on OddsShopper!

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James Harden Under 9.5 Assists

Going directly to Harden makes some sense because this will be the first chance to see how he fits in with the rest of the Philadelphia offense. Harden did average 10.2 assists and 18.3 potential assists per night for Brooklyn. One aspect that is going to be very interesting is how he meshes with Joel Embiid. Given Embiid is leading the league in post-up frequency and field goal attempts this season, that could hurt Harden’s assists. If he is throwing the ball to Embiid closer to the basket but Embiid dribbles and does any moves in the post, it can be an unassisted basket even though Harden made the last pass. For reference, Tyrese Maxey passes the ball to Embiid about 25% of the time and averages 4.6 assists per game. The ROI is solid at +104 and OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 71%, even against the defense-deficient Minnesota Timberwolves.

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Jimmy Butler Under 6.5 Rebounds

At least on paper, this game between the Miami Heat and New York Knicks is the ugliest of the night and has the lowest total (211). These two teams are 28th and 29th in pace, and both rank inside the top 12 in rebounds allowed in the paint. Miami is the best team at allowing rebounds outside the paint, so Jimmy Butler could have his work cut out for him. He averages 6.4 rebounds per game, but the trio of Bam Adebayo, Julius Randle and Mitchell Robinson are all inside the top 25 in rebounding this season. Butler is well rounded as far as where he grabs his rebounds, but with the game environment dictating fewer possessions than most tonight, OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 58%.

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Cole Anthony Over 5.5 Rebounds

OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 67% and the ROI is +116 for a wager on the polar opposite end of the spectrum. The Orlando Magic and the Houston Rockets have a good chance to play the highest-scoring game of the night according to point totals. This is one of two games over 230 points (234.5) for the total, and both play at a very high pace with very little defense. The Rockets continue to lead the league in pace, and the Magic are 10th. Cole Anthony is averaging 5.8 rebounds per game and is in the top 10 in rebound chances per game among guards (10.1). His conversion rate is 57.3% on the season. Both teams are in the bottom six in total rebounds, and there should be a ton of opportunities to go around for Anthony.

Reggie Jackson Over 18.5 Points

The last wager of the night closes the four-leg NBA parlay for a +1518 return according to the Awesemo Parlay Calculator. The battle of Los Angeles adds another chapter tonight when the Clippers face the Lakers, and the Lakers are in dire straits. The Clippers are 1.5 games ahead of them in the standings despite Kawhi Leonard missing the entire season and Paul George missing most of it. On the Lakers side, bad luck hit them again right before the break, as Anthony Davis suffered an ankle injury that will keep him out for a while. The Lakers have a defensive rating of 114 when Davis has been off the floor this season, which would rank 28th. Reggie Jackson leads the team in usage rate (29.9%) when George is off the floor, and even though he is shooting just 39.5% from the floor, he will not see many matchups that are better as far as opposing defenses. OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 64% for Jackson.

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