The Boston Celtics are looking to build on the momentum of their Game 3 victory tonight when they face the Golden State Warriors in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. This is close to a must-win game for the Warriors since going down 3-1 to the Celtics would be a very difficult deficit to overcome. As always, OddsShopper is going to be the guide while placing a same game parlay with a lot of different choices to pick from.
Best FREE NBA Same Game Picks & Parlays Today
Stephen Curry O/U 4.5 Assists
The injury to the foot of Stephen Curry is an X-factor in this game, as there is no real way to tell how it will affect him before the game starts. Regardless of the foot, this wager has an expected win rate of 66%, and it would seem like Curry is due for some positive regression in the assist department. In the first three games of the series, he has only averaged 3.7 assists per game, but that’s not telling the whole story because he’s leading the Warriors with 9.7 potential assists and 46 passes. As good as the Boston defense can be, it’s hard to think the Warriors will continue to shoot so poorly when Curry passes the ball. Curry has also played almost 36 minutes per game, and that could rise given the stakes of Game 4 tonight, which could give this wager an extra chance to hit. Additionally, Curry is projected second in fantasy points in the Awesemo NBA DFS Projections to go along with over 32 minutes.
NBA Same Game Parlay Pick: Stephen Curry Player Prop Pick | Over 4.5 Assists
Claim YOUR $200 FREE at BetMGM. If either team scores a 3-pointer tonight, you win FREE MONEY.
Marcus Smart O/U 5.5 Assists
The ROI of this wager is +104 and the expected win rate from OddsShopper is only 51%, so this wager has a little bit of risk to it compared to the Curry wager. However, Marcus Smart has racked up 14 assists in this series, and he’s had five in each of the past two games. In Game 2, he only played 25 minutes, which capped his assists, and then in Game 3 he shot the ball 17 times. That’s not likely to replicate, and Smart is second on the team in potential assists with 9.3. It will always help when the Awesemo Projected Stats has Smart second in expected assists for the entire game. Smart has also edged out Jayson Tatum for the most passes per game (52.7 for Smart, 52.0 for Tatum), but that also goes back to Game 2. Tatum played almost 10 more minutes than Smart in that game, so this should be the first time that Smart can get over the five-assist threshold.
NBA Same Game Parlay Pick: Marcus Smart Player Prop Picks | OVER 5.5 Assists
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Draymond Green O/U 6.5 Rebounds
Narratives should rarely come into play when placing wagers, but Draymond Green is plugged into the NBA media and surely has heard the valid criticisms of his Game 3 performance. He fouled out while making a very minimal impact on the game, but tonight he’s projected for the second-highest boom rate on the Awesemo Boom/Bust Tool. That gives strong credence to a bounce-back game for Green tonight, and it’s not like he’s going to score 20 points or more, so he’ll have to show up in other aspects. Through the first three games, Green has averaged 6.7 rebounds and 12.7 rebound chances per game. The latter number leads the team by one chance per game, and the Warriors have steadily decreased the playing time of Kevon Looney, as he only played 17 minutes in Game 3. That puts more responsibility on the shoulders of Green to control the glass for Golden State, and the expected win rate from OddsShopper is 73%, the highest mark they have on any player.
Betting Pick for NBA Parlays: Draymond Green Player Prop Pick | OVER 6.5 Rebounds
Celtics vs. Warriors Same Game NBA Parlay Odds: +501
If all of these wagers hit, the return would be +501 according to the Awesemo Parlay Calculator. If the wager is $100, the return would be $501.72 for just three picks.
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