This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. Using the Awesemo NBA Player Props Betting against Tool, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. The following are the four best bets for tonight’s five-game slate.
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Warriors Moneyline (+110) vs. Bucks; Under 223.5
This game features two teams that have struggled lately. Both teams are expected to be without a starter tonight, with Draymond Green having been declared out Jrue Holiday (ankle) doubtful. Also, expect Klay Thompson to remain on a minutes restriction for the foreseeable future. The Warriors defense travels, and they are too good of an offensive team to shoot the way they are and not get to the foul line, as their free-throw rate is just 20.4% rate over the last six games. Plus, Milwaukee is just 3-7 without Holiday, and 12 of their losses have come to teams with at least a .500 record. The key will be who defends the 3-point line the best, and the Warriors rank third in that department, holding opponents to 32.7% from beyond the arc.
Neither team is playing well on the offensive end, with poor shooting and turnovers plaguing both squads. Meanwhile, the Warriors have been one of the best teams all season, and they are holding opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 48.3%. Their recent struggles notwithstanding, the Bucks are a better than average defensively and hold opponents to 50.8% effective field goal percentage on the season at Fiserv Forum. Moreover, the under is 13-3-1 in the Bucks’ last 17 home games against teams with winning road records.
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Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Second Quarter Under 59.5 Points
This game features two athletic teams with ball-dominant guards who like to get out and run and big men who can score a variety of ways. As a result of the point total being set at 230 points, the teams must average a touch of 57.2 points in each quarter. Playing the under means there has to be a quarter where the teams do not score that many points, and it appears the second quarter is the best bet to go under the point total, as it is set at 59.5 points.
Both teams like to play loose and free in the opening quarter. But it is the second quarter where the Grizzlies get serious on defense, holding opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 50.1% for the season. However, they have gotten more defensive during their winning streak, and that number is down to 46% of the last 10 games. Similarly, the second quarter is where the Timberwolves struggle the most, as they record an effective field goal percentage of just 49.2%. Minnesota generally plays their starters a little more than half of the second. Plus, the teams combined for 44 points in their first meeting and 52 points in their second outing earlier this year during the second period.
Day’Ron Sharpe Under 1.5 Assists
Sharpe is expected to start at center for the Nets against the Thunder, as LaMarcus Aldridge (foot), Nicolas Claxton (hamstring) and Kevin Durant (rest) have already been declared out. Sharpe has played well the last two games and turned in a career performance on Wednesday, as he recorded 20 points on 10-for-14 shooting from the field and seven rebounds (three offensive) against the Bulls. However, he is pretty much a black hole. Sharpe has two assists — both of which came against Portland on Monday — in 15 games despite registering a 23.2% usage rate. For more context, he registered 1.4 assists per game in 29 games at North Carolina last year. He is projected for less than one assist tonight. OddsShopper gives the under a 716% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 51%.
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