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Warriors vs. Mavericks Best NBA Bets Sunday 5/22 + FREE $200 at BetMGM Promo




Something has to change for the Mavericks and Luka Doncic, it’s now or never. The series shifts to Dallas for the first time as Golden State holds a 2-0 lead. Game 2 saw Dallas blow a 14-point halftime lead as they return home as slight favorites. Doncic and his teammates – Jalen Brunson and Reggie Bullock – came out firing from three, helping to build a healthy lead at the midway point. The Mavs were down 0-2 to the Suns after dropping two straight in Phoenix, including a 20-point drubbing in game 2.

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The Warriors don’t need to change a thing. A veteran team led by Steph Curry and Klay Thompson took their time only to explode in the fourth quarter of last game. It wasn’t just the offense as Dallas was limited to 13 third quarter points. Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins help lead a Warriors team that continues to confuse Jason Kidd and frustrate shooters on the floor. Jordan Poole did his part in helping the Warriors overcome that early deficit. The only key injury ahead of tonight is Wiggins listed as questionable with left ankle soreness, but is expected to play.

Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as the status of players can change by the minute. It has everything necessary for NBA betting today. Here are the  best NBA bets today and NBA player prop bets for the Warriors vs Mavericks.

NBA Player Props & Picks | Warriors vs. Mavericks

Date: Sunday, May 22, 2022
Time: 9 p.m. ET
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch: TNT

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Dallas ALT First Half Point Spread

It’s hard to deny the Mavericks strategy in building an early first half lead; shoot as much as possible from the outside and trust volume will translate to points. Role players have a knack for being more comfortable at home, but the saying should be “shooters shoot better at home” more so than anything else. Dorian Finney-Smith should benefit the most from this, as Golden State saw Bullock rain down 6 makes from deep last game, and will have a little more focus on him. Doncic should capture the spark around his teammates, and Brunson can be a multi-level threat if he’s knocking down triples. This is the type of game – at least first half – where the Warriors take their foot off the gas. Simply because of the challenging marathon the postseason presents.

It is vital to check OddsShopper during the day ahead of tip-off for all NBA betting picks today.  Awesemo’s projections may update and shift throughout the day, so keep an eye on data shifts from earlier in the day.

Pick: Dallas – 3.5 (+105 BetMGM) | Claim YOUR $200 FREE at BetMGM

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Luka Doncic O/U 9.5 Rebounds

No better place to start with the one player expected to impact the game the most in Doncic. It’s also one of the top xROI plays in the Warriors vs. Mavs game. Awesemo’s free projection has Doncic finishing with 11.3 rebounds tonight, nearly 2 full boards above the book’s total. OddsShopper has a 69% xWin chance of this prop going over the total, with a strong 45% xROI on the play. Golden State did a good job of keeping him off the glass in game 2, but don’t expect that to stay the same in Dallas.

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69% is a great number for an xWin percentage on OddsShopper but it’s not 100. That’s only available at at BetMGM, where FREE money awaits you – all you have to do is bet $10 to win $200 if either the Mavericks or Warriors hit just one 3-pointer tonight.

Pick: Luka Doncic OVER 9.5 Rebounds (+110 BetMGM) | Claim YOUR $200 FREE at BetMGM

Steph Curry O/U 5.5 Rebounds

Expect both teams to launch a lot of threes, and as a result longer rebounding opportunities for guys like Curry. He’s also been able to slide off misses and find spots to grab defensive rebounds. Curry is averaging 10 rebounds per game in the first two games of the series – 12 and 8, respectively. Despite the increase in rebounding, Curry is still projected by Awesemo to only finish with 5.0 tonight. OddsShopper has a 62% xWin chance of this prop staying under the total, and a 30% xROI on the play. Getting plus money to fade Curry’s astronomical rebound run is worth a serious look.

Pick: Steph Curry UNDER 5.5 Rebounds (+105 BetMGM) | Claim YOUR $200 FREE at BetMGM

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