DraftKings and FanDuel Spotlight Pitchers of the Day 3/29

Opening day has arrived! If you did’t play the degenerate 2-game early slate, this will be the first crack at making some MLB money. We’ve got eight games to choose from, and this article will obviously focus on the pitchers at different pricing tiers. Similar to the NHL Spotlights, we’ll have Awesemo weigh in, and then I (Tommienation1) will provide some additional analysis. So sit back, relax, blow off your work, flip on a game of your choosing, and enjoy opening day!

Top-Tier

Luis Severino ($10,600 DK/$10,000 FD)

“Severino is on the road against the Blue Jays, who have a team total under 4, and have a bunch of players who struggle making contact against righties.”

You get a nice discount on an ace if you don’t want to pay up for Chris Sale today, as Severino has similar upside against the Jays. All but three players in Toronto’s projected starting lineup struck out over 20% of the time against righties, and it’s not like Severino was a stiff against lefties, striking them out over 29% of the time last year. If you can’t get up to Sale, or want to use the extra salary to pay up for another big bat, Severino is great tournament pivot.

Chris Archer ($8,500 DK/$8,600 FD)

“Archer’s strikeout upside is hard to ignore against a team that has a sub-4 implied total and in a pitcher’s park.”

Archer posted a 3.24 xFIP against lefties and 3.44 xFIP against righties in 2017, and he will look to build on a solid season with a tough matchup against the Red Sox. His ground-ball percentage was over 40% last year, but when he gets hit, he gets hit hard, especially against lefties. You’re not playing Archer for him to post a shutout, but his elite strikeout rate (28.8% vs. righties, 29.7% vs. lefties in 2017) at this price is hard to pass up in tournaments, as he is always a candidate to post 8-10 Ks even in a less-than-stellar matchup.

Value

Garrett Richards ($6,800 DK/$8,300 FD)

“Richards is a -120 road favorite against the A’s, who have a lot of strikeouts in their lineup. At this price on DraftKings, Richards provides a lot of value in tournaments.”

Richards (“B” value) is one of the guys I’m most excited about this year, as he flashed his upside multiple times at the end of last season. He should face a handful of righties this afternoon in Oakland, and last year, he struck them out at 23.7% clip, posting a 3.58 xFIP. Even against lefties he had numbers we love to see, including a 3.03 xFIP and a 25.7% hard-hit rate. In the A’s projected lineup they have at least six players who struck out over 20% of the time against righties last year, so Richard has a great chance to rack up enough Ks at $6,800 to pay dividends on DraftKings.

 

Jake Hari
Author
Jake Hari is the Director of NHL Content at Awesemo.com and contributes to the site's NHL and MLB coverage as a writer of the spotlight stacks articles and host of Strategy Videos and Livestreams. Jake has been dubbed "the Baseball Savant" thanks to his immense knowledge of MLB but he's achieved some of his best success as an innovator in the world of NHL DFS. You can contact Jake by emailing [email protected].

Stokastic +

Premium Data and Tools
PREMIUM DATA
Projections
Ownership Projections
PREMIUM TOOLS
Lineup Builder
Fantasy Cruncher (ADD-ON)
NHL Lineup Study
FREE RESOURCES
Rankings
COMMUNINTY
NHL Discord Server
PREMIUM DATA
Ownership Projections
Top Golfers Tool
PGA Tournament Models
Rankings
PREMIUM TOOLS
PGA Lineup Builder
FANTASY CRUNCHER (ADD-ON)
PGA Lineup Study
COMMUNITY
PGA Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Top Drivers Tool
NASCAR Discord Server
NASCAR Fantasy Cruncher
Formula 1 Projections
F1 Discord Server
USFL Projections
USFL Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Top Fighters Tool
MMA Discord Server
MMA Fantasy Cruncher
NFL Betting Tools
Stokastic Discord Server

Stokastic on YouTube

Stokastic's team of professional dfs players and sports bettors win millions of dollars every year

Data

Our mathematical, results-based models use millions of data points to produce superior insights. We provide the very best in fantasy sports and betting data in real time.

Tools

We provide our users with the same tools we use to win every day. From advanced derived data models like our Boom/Bust and Top Stacks tools, to all-in-one solutions like Lineup Generator, our toolbox is open.

Community

We're proud of having the smartest, funnest, and most engaged community in the sports gaming industry. Join us today on Discord and Youtube and see what the buzz is about.

Subscribe to the Stokastic newsletter

DFS advice, exciting promos, and the best bets straight to your inbox

Stokastic.com - Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting Data, Tools, & Analytics