The NASCAR All-Star Race is here! The weekend offers up plenty of action, with heat races to determine the starting order on Saturday and the All-Star Open to determine additional qualifiers on Sunday evening. But even with so much in flux, we can predict a few sharp NASCAR DFS angles for this weekend’s action. Let’s dive straight into our top NASCAR DFS picks for the 2024 All-Star Race at North Wilkesboro, including Ty Gibbs.
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NASCAR DFS Picks: Top Drivers for the 2024 All-Star Race at North Wilkesboro
The Front Row | 2024 All-Star Race NASCAR DFS Picks | North Wilkesboro
This article was written before our NASCAR DFS projections run. Check back on Sunday morning for Stokastic’s industry-leading NASCAR DFS projections, including our top drivers tool!
This is a bit of a cop-out answer, as I’m writing this article before Saturday night’s heat races that will determine the starting order of Sunday’s event. However, it’s also the best answer. There are no more field inversions in the All-Star Race, so that won’t mess with a driver’s ability to rack up dominator points.
Although last year’s event saw Kyle Larson lead 145 of 200 laps after starting in 16th, this year’s event will be very different. The ancient, rough surface of North Wilkesboro has been repaved, which means less tire wear, making it harder for a driver to climb through the field by skill alone and reducing long-run versus short-run variance.
With the new pavement, this event should be much more like a standard short-track race. Polesitters at short-track races led 68-plus laps or more in two of the three-race sample (Richmond, Bristol and Martinsville). Drivers who started in the top six led almost every lap at Richmond, one of the best comparators for the recently repaved North Wilkesboro.
We may even be able to get a good deal for the polesitter. The drivers who will start their heats first, Brad Keselowski ($8,200 at DraftKings) and Joey Logano ($8,800 at DraftKings) aren’t all that expensive. If they can earn solid starting track positions, they’ll be great NASCAR DFS picks for the 2024 All-Star Race.
Ty Gibbs & All-Star Open Qualifiers
There’s a huge asterisk next to Ty Gibbs ($9,000 at DraftKings): he still has to qualify for the All-Star Race. While he is the betting favorite to win the All-Star Open and qualify for Sunday’s main event, he’ll have to deliver if he actually wants to make the field. Make sure to keep a close eye on your lineups close to lock to adjust for the Open results.
By qualifying through the Open, Gibbs would have to start the event in the back, giving him a chance to generate points for pass and placement differential. Gibbs led 137 laps at Bristol a few weeks ago, finishing ninth after starting 19th. He struggled at Richmond and Martinsville, but there is a ton of upside here if Gibbs can cut his way through the field for a strong result.
The $9,000 price tag is hefty, but no driver will have a better shot to generate placement differential than Gibbs. If he doesn’t qualify (and even if he does — there are other drivers who will get in through the Open), make sure to add at least one driver from the Open.
